Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real (LND) Fair Value 2026

LND · Agricultural Production-Crops ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real (LND) trades at $3.60, approximately 83% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $1.97. QOC: 4.4/10. 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
LND
Price
$3.60
Quality Score
4.4/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +7.4% upside with 11% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.4/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.60)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$1.97 -45.5%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
$3.27 -9.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$2.85 -20.9%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$3.87 +7.4%

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What Is Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real (LND) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $3.50. Trading at $3.61, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -2.8%), as 9 of 13 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, ML-RIV, places fair value at $11.74 (+225.6%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $1.78 (-50.6%). This +276.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About LND?

13 of 13 models are currently active for LND. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates LND's intrinsic value at $1.97, implying -45.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LND Rank in Agricultural Production-Crops?

Among 9 Agricultural Production-Crops stocks, LND ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.4 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is LND a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for LND. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real scores 4.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +276.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LND valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LND's 13 active models, average confidence is 9%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

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Frequently Asked Questions About Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real

What is Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real (LND) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $1.97. The Quality of Company score is 4.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LND overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.60, 3 of 13 active models suggest LND may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real's business model in Agricultural Production-Crops.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.4 mean for LND?

Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real's QOC of 4.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LND?

CirclFi analyzes LND with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is LND a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for LND at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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