What Is Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Adecoagro S.A.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $14.84, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $10.44. While the average implied return is +42.2%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +290.1% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, RCMH-DCF, places fair value at $31.57 (+202.4%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $1.29 (-87.6%). This +290.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Adecoagro S.A.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About AGRO?
12 of 13 models are currently active for AGRO. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AGRO's intrinsic value at $4.89, implying -53.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does AGRO Rank in Farm Products?
Among 5 Farm Products stocks, AGRO ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.3 signals below-average fundamentals.
Adecoagro S.A. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is AGRO a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for AGRO. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Adecoagro S.A.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Adecoagro S.A.'s fundamental quality profile registers 2.3/10. This concerning score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +290.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every AGRO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across AGRO's 12 active models, average confidence is 11%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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