What Is Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company's intrinsic value is estimated at $60.04. Trading at its current price of $82.28, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -27.0%. The most optimistic model, Bayesian DCF, places fair value at $93.58 (+13.7%), while Regime Cross — the most conservative — estimates $28.10 (-65.8%). This +79.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Archer-Daniels-Midland Company's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About ADM?
12 of 13 models are currently active for ADM. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ADM's intrinsic value at $93.58, implying +13.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ADM Rank in Farm Products?
Among 5 Farm Products stocks, ADM ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is ADM a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ADM a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Archer-Daniels-Midland Company. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company scores 7.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +79.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ADM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ADM's 12 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad