AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. (AQB) Fair Value 2026

AQB · Farm Products ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (14/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. (AQB) trades at $1.25, versus a $4.68 median fair value across its 3 active models — 274.5% above the current price. QOC: 4.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 14/100 (SAFE). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AQB
Price
$1.25
Quality Score
4.6/10
Value Trap Risk
14/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: ML-RIV suggests +275.5% upside with 45% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.6/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. (AQB) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. (AQB) appears undervalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $4.68, 274.5% above the current price of $1.25. Estimates range from $1.85 to $4.69. AQB scores 4.6/10 on fundamental quality and 14/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. AQB’s +274.5% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AQB?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.25)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $4.69 +275.5%
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
 $4.68 +274.5%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $1.85 +47.8%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is AQB's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $1.85 to $4.69

CirclFi's 3 active models place AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. (AQB) between $1.85 and $4.69 per share, a spread of 61% of the median. The median of that range — $4.68 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for AQB, against a current price of $1.25.

Low · PWERMHigh · ML-RIV
$1.85median $4.68$4.69
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelPWERM$1.85
Most bullish modelML Residual Income$4.69
Model agreement3 bullish · 0 bearishmoderate

A band of this width is typical. The methods agree on direction but weight growth, reinvestment and risk differently, so treat the median as a centre of gravity rather than a precise target.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on AQB, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. (AQB) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $1.25. Based on our 13-model framework, AquaBounty Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $4.68 — representing +274.5% implied upside — with 3 out of 3 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: ML-RIV targets $4.69 (+275.5%), versus PWERM at $1.85 (+47.8%). This +227.6% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About AQB?

3 of 13 models are currently active for AQB. All 3 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for AQB is $4.68 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AQB Rank in Farm Products?

Among 22 Farm Products stocks, AQB ranks #18 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.6 reflects mixed fundamentals.

AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is AQB a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AQB a score of 14/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for AquaBounty Technologies, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. scores 4.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +227.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AQB valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AQB's 3 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Farm Products Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Farm Products stocks with 13-model coverage

ESGHESG Inc.QOC 4.7EDBLEdible Garden AG IncorporatedQOC 4.2PFAIPinnacle Food Group LimitedQOC 5.6SDOTSadot Group Inc.QOC 3.7MGNCMag Magna Corp.QOC 5.7AGROAdecoagro S.A.QOC 2.6CALMCal-Maine Foods, Inc.QOC 9.0ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland CompanyQOC 7.5LMNRLimoneira CompanyQOC 6.4VFFVillage Farms International, Inc.QOC 8.8

Read investment analysis: ESGH · EDBL · PFAI · SDOT · MGNC · AGRO · CALM · ADM · LMNR · VFF

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AQB?

7 companies across all industries closest to AQB’s Quality of Company score of 4.6/10.

VPLMVoip-Pal.com Inc.QOC 4.6AMBPArdagh Metal Packaging S.A.QOC 4.6DFNST3 Defense Inc.QOC 4.6NAKNorthern Dynasty Minerals Ltd.QOC 4.6ACXPAcurx Pharmaceuticals, Inc.QOC 4.6BMEBlackRock Health Sciences TrustQOC 4.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: VPLM · AMBP · DFNS · NAK · ACXP · BME · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About AquaBounty Technologies, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is AquaBounty Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. (AQB)'s intrinsic value at $4.68 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.85 to $4.69. The Quality of Company score is 4.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AQB overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.25, 3 of 3 active models suggest AQB may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $4.68, 274.5% above the current price of $1.25 — a consensus view that AQB is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits AquaBounty Technologies, Inc.'s business model in Farm Products.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.6 mean for AQB?

AquaBounty Technologies, Inc.'s QOC of 4.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AQB?

CirclFi analyzes AQB with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on AQB?

Of the 3 models currently active on AQB, ML Residual Income is the most bullish at $4.69 per share, and PWERM is the most bearish at $1.85. CirclFi's published fair value for AQB is the median of that range, $4.68, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 61% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is AQB a value trap in 2026?

AquaBounty Technologies, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 14/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. (AQB) has a median fair value of $4.68 — 274.5% above the current price of $1.25 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AQB/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AQB valuation
  • Financial statements: AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001603978) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AQB as of ; valuations recomputed .