AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. (AQB) Fair Value 2026

AQB · Farm Products ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 4 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. (AQB) trades at $0.99. QOC: 4.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 4/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AQB
Price
$0.99
Quality Score
4.0/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
4/13
Last Updated
Strength: Dynamic NAV suggests +69.9% upside with 44% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.0/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. (AQB) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 4-model valuation engine, AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. (AQB) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 4 independent fair value estimates is $0.90, within 9.1% of the current price of $0.99. Estimates range from $0.24 to $1.68. AQB scores 4.0/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

4 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.99)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$0.24 -75.5%
Dynamic NAV
Medium Conviction
$1.68 +69.9%

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What Is AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. (AQB) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $0.99. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $0.93 (-6.0% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 2 bullish models and 2 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: Dynamic NAV targets $1.68 (+69.9%), versus First Chicago at $0.24 (-75.5%). This +145.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About AQB?

4 of 13 models are currently active for AQB. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AQB Rank in Farm Products?

Among 6 Farm Products stocks, AQB ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.0 signals below-average fundamentals.

AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is AQB a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AQB a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

4 of 13 models are active for AquaBounty Technologies, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. scores 4.0 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +145.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AQB valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AQB's 4 active models, average confidence is 26%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Farm Products Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

5 related Farm Products stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: ADM · AGRZ · ALCO · AGRO · AFRI

Frequently Asked Questions About AquaBounty Technologies, Inc.

What is AquaBounty Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. (AQB) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 4.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AQB overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.99, 2 of 4 active models suggest AQB may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 4 fair value estimates is $0.90, within 9.1% of the current price of $0.99 — a consensus view that AQB is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits AquaBounty Technologies, Inc.'s business model in Farm Products.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.0 mean for AQB?

AquaBounty Technologies, Inc.'s QOC of 4.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AQB?

CirclFi analyzes AQB with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 4 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is AQB a value trap in 2026?

AquaBounty Technologies, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 4-model valuation engine, AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. (AQB) has a median fair value of $0.90 — within 9.1% of the current price of $0.99 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AQB/ · Methodology

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