Imperial Petroleum Inc. (IMPP) Fair Value 2026

IMPP · Oil & Gas Midstream ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (38/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Imperial Petroleum Inc. (IMPP) trades at $5.06, versus a $11.22 median fair value across its 11 active models — 121.7% above the current price. QOC: 8.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 38/100 (LOW). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $5.30.

Key Facts

Ticker
IMPP
Price
$5.06
Quality Score
8.1/10
Value Trap Risk
38/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +329.4% upside with 45% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is Imperial Petroleum Inc. (IMPP) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Imperial Petroleum Inc. (IMPP) appears undervalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $11.22, 121.7% above the current price of $5.06. Estimates range from $0.37 to $21.73. IMPP scores 8.1/10 on fundamental quality and 38/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. IMPP’s +121.7% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Midstream sector median is -9.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Imperial Petroleum Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give IMPP?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.06)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $5.30 +4.8%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $11.03 +118.0%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $21.73 +329.4%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $8.29 +63.8%
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What Is IMPP's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $0.37 to $21.73

CirclFi's 11 active models place Imperial Petroleum Inc. (IMPP) between $0.37 and $21.73 per share, a spread of 190% of the median. The median of that range — $11.22 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for IMPP, against a current price of $5.06.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · First Chicago
$0.37median $11.22$21.73
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$0.37
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$21.73
Model agreement9 bullish · 1 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for IMPP. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on IMPP, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Imperial Petroleum Inc. (IMPP) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Imperial Petroleum Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $11.22. At a current market price of $5.06, 9 of 11 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +121.7%. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +329.4% (fair value: $21.73), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -92.7% ($0.37). The spread between these extremes — +422.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About IMPP?

11 of 13 models are currently active for IMPP. Of these, 10 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for IMPP is $11.22 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $5.30 on its own, implying +4.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does IMPP Rank in Oil & Gas Midstream?

Among 53 Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, IMPP ranks #18 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.1 places IMPP in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Oil & Gas Midstream Stocks →

Imperial Petroleum Inc.'s positioning within the Oil & Gas Midstream segment means that reserve replacement ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including basin-level economics — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is IMPP a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns IMPP a score of 38/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Imperial Petroleum Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Imperial Petroleum Inc. earns a quality score of 8.1/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +422.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every IMPP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across IMPP's 11 active models, average confidence is 38%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Imperial Petroleum Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Midstream Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas Midstream stocks with 13-model coverage

DHTDHT Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.1AMAntero Midstream CorporationQOC 8.1PBAPembina Pipeline CorporationQOC 8.1MPLXMPLX LPQOC 8.0TRGPTarga Resources Corp.QOC 8.2EPDEnterprise Products Partners L.P.QOC 8.0KNTKKinetik Holdings Inc.QOC 7.4NFENew Fortress Energy Inc.QOC 5.5WESWestern Midstream Partners, LPQOC 8.8HESMHess Midstream LPQOC 9.2FLNGFLEX LNG Ltd.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: DHT · AM · PBA · MPLX · TRGP · EPD · KNTK · NFE · WES · HESM · FLNG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to IMPP?

6 companies across all industries closest to IMPP’s Quality of Company score of 8.1/10.

MHOM/I Homes, Inc.QOC 8.1LGCYLegacy Education Inc.QOC 8.1FDBCFidelity D & D Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.1CZNCCitizens & Northern CorporationQOC 8.1TFPMTriple Flag Precious Metals Corp.QOC 8.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MHO · LGCY · FDBC · CZNC · TFPM · NVDA

Where Does IMPP Sit in CirclFi's Oil & Gas Midstream Rankings?

IMPP is ranked against every other Oil & Gas Midstream stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Oil & Gas Midstream stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Imperial Petroleum Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Imperial Petroleum Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Imperial Petroleum Inc. (IMPP)'s intrinsic value at $11.22 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.37 to $21.73. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $5.30 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is IMPP overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.06, 10 of 11 active models suggest IMPP may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $11.22, 121.7% above the current price of $5.06 — a consensus view that IMPP is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Imperial Petroleum Inc.'s business model in Oil & Gas Midstream.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.1 mean for IMPP?

Imperial Petroleum Inc.'s QOC of 8.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on IMPP?

CirclFi analyzes IMPP with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on IMPP?

Of the 11 models currently active on IMPP, First Chicago is the most bullish at $21.73 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $0.37. CirclFi's published fair value for IMPP is the median of that range, $11.22, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 190% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is IMPP a value trap in 2026?

Imperial Petroleum Inc.'s Value Trap score is 38/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Imperial Petroleum Inc. (IMPP) has a median fair value of $11.22 — 121.7% above the current price of $5.06 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/IMPP/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this IMPP valuation
  • Financial statements: Imperial Petroleum Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001876581) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for IMPP as of ; valuations recomputed .

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