AZZ Inc. (AZZ) Fair Value 2026

AZZ · Specialty Business Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (7/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, AZZ Inc. (AZZ) trades at $139.74, versus a $93.33 median fair value across its 11 active models — 33.2% below the current price. QOC: 9.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 7/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $90.07.

Key Facts

Ticker
AZZ
Price
$139.74
Quality Score
9.0/10
Value Trap Risk
7/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +34.3% upside with 61% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is AZZ Inc. (AZZ) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, AZZ Inc. (AZZ) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $93.33, 33.2% below the current price of $139.74. Estimates range from $20.84 to $206.68. AZZ scores 9.0/10 on fundamental quality and 7/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. AZZ’s -33.2% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Specialty Business Services sector median is -0.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy AZZ Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AZZ?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($139.74)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $90.07 -35.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $33.00 -76.4%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $93.33 -33.2%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $187.69 +34.3%
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What Is AZZ's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $20.84 to $206.68

CirclFi's 11 active models place AZZ Inc. (AZZ) between $20.84 and $206.68 per share, a spread of 199% of the median. The median of that range — $93.33 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for AZZ, against a current price of $139.74.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · Regime Cross
$20.84median $93.33$206.68
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$20.84
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$206.68
Model agreement3 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for AZZ. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on AZZ, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is AZZ Inc. (AZZ) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on AZZ Inc. at its current price of $139.74. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $93.33 (-33.2% vs price), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $206.68 (+47.9%), versus Markov DDM at $20.84 (-85.1%). This +133.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About AZZ?

11 of 13 models are currently active for AZZ. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for AZZ is $93.33 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $90.07 on its own, implying -35.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AZZ Rank in Specialty Business Services?

Among 54 Specialty Business Services stocks, AZZ ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.0 places AZZ in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Business Services Stocks →

AZZ Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is AZZ a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AZZ a score of 7/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for AZZ Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, AZZ Inc. is rated at 9.0/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +133.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AZZ valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AZZ's 11 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy AZZ Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Business Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Specialty Business Services stocks with 13-model coverage

RELXRELX PLCQOC 9.2CPRTCopart, Inc.QOC 8.9CTASCintas CorporationQOC 9.2ULSUL Solutions Inc.QOC 8.6SMXSMX (Security Matters) Public Limited CompanyQOC 1.7DLBDolby Laboratories, Inc.QOC 8.5GPNGlobal Payments Inc.QOC 7.8ELVGElvictor Group, Inc.QOC 6.3QPRCQuest Patent Research CorporationQOC 4.6

Read investment analysis: RELX · CPRT · CTAS · ULS · SMX · DLB · GPN · ELVG · QPRC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AZZ?

7 companies across all industries closest to AZZ’s Quality of Company score of 9.0/10.

MKLMarkel Group Inc.QOC 9.0JBLJabil Inc.QOC 9.0YBYuanbao Inc.QOC 9.0TPRTapestry, Inc.QOC 9.0DCBODocebo Inc.QOC 9.0OFGOFG BancorpQOC 9.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MKL · JBL · YB · TPR · DCBO · OFG · NVDA

Where Does AZZ Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Business Services Rankings?

AZZ is ranked against every other Specialty Business Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Business Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About AZZ Inc.’s Valuation?

What is AZZ Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts AZZ Inc. (AZZ)'s intrinsic value at $93.33 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $20.84 to $206.68. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $90.07 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AZZ overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $139.74, 3 of 11 active models suggest AZZ may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $93.33, 33.2% below the current price of $139.74 — a consensus view that AZZ is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits AZZ Inc.'s business model in Specialty Business Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.0 mean for AZZ?

AZZ Inc.'s QOC of 9.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AZZ?

CirclFi analyzes AZZ with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on AZZ?

Of the 11 models currently active on AZZ, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $206.68 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $20.84. CirclFi's published fair value for AZZ is the median of that range, $93.33, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 199% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is AZZ a value trap in 2026?

AZZ Inc.'s Value Trap score is 7/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, AZZ Inc. (AZZ) has a median fair value of $93.33 — 33.2% below the current price of $139.74 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AZZ/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AZZ valuation
  • Financial statements: AZZ Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000008947) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AZZ as of ; valuations recomputed .

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