UL Solutions Inc. (ULS) Fair Value 2026

ULS · Specialty Business Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, UL Solutions Inc. (ULS) trades at $75.55, versus a $33.84 median fair value across its 9 active models — 55.2% below the current price. QOC: 8.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $56.76.

Key Facts

Ticker
ULS
Price
$75.55
Quality Score
8.6/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.6/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is UL Solutions Inc. (ULS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, UL Solutions Inc. (ULS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $33.84, 55.2% below the current price of $75.55. Estimates range from $5.73 to $79.66. ULS scores 8.6/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. ULS’s -55.2% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Specialty Business Services sector median is -0.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy UL Solutions Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ULS?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($75.55)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $56.76 -24.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $22.66 -70.0%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $33.84 -55.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $15.67 -79.3%
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What Is ULS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $5.73 to $79.66

CirclFi's 9 active models place UL Solutions Inc. (ULS) between $5.73 and $79.66 per share, a spread of 219% of the median. The median of that range — $33.84 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ULS, against a current price of $75.55.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · Regime Cross
$5.73median $33.84$79.66
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$5.73
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$79.66
Model agreement1 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ULS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ULS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is UL Solutions Inc. (ULS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, UL Solutions Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $33.84. Trading at its current price of $75.55, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 8 of 9 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -55.2%. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +5.4% (fair value: $79.66), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -92.4% ($5.73). The spread between these extremes — +97.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About ULS?

9 of 13 models are currently active for ULS. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ULS is $33.84 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $56.76 on its own, implying -24.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ULS Rank in Specialty Business Services?

Among 54 Specialty Business Services stocks, ULS ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.6 places ULS in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Business Services Stocks →

UL Solutions Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is ULS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ULS a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for UL Solutions Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, UL Solutions Inc. earns a quality score of 8.6/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +97.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ULS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ULS's 9 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy UL Solutions Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Business Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Specialty Business Services stocks with 13-model coverage

CPRTCopart, Inc.QOC 8.9DLBDolby Laboratories, Inc.QOC 8.5AZZAZZ Inc.QOC 9.0MMSMaximus, Inc.QOC 8.3RELXRELX PLCQOC 9.2RBARB Global, Inc.QOC 8.2CMPRCimpress plcQOC 7.8SPIRSpire Global, Inc.QOC 6.2SFRXSeafarer Exploration Corp.QOC 4.4CTASCintas CorporationQOC 9.2

Read investment analysis: CPRT · DLB · AZZ · MMS · RELX · RBA · CMPR · SPIR · SFRX · CTAS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ULS?

7 companies across all industries closest to ULS’s Quality of Company score of 8.6/10.

URIUnited Rentals, Inc.QOC 8.6MNSOMINISO Group Holding LimitedQOC 8.6EZPWEZCORP, Inc.QOC 8.6UNPUnion Pacific CorporationQOC 8.6AXTAAxalta Coating Systems Ltd.QOC 8.6SRCE1st Source CorporationQOC 8.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: URI · MNSO · EZPW · UNP · AXTA · SRCE · NVDA

Where Does ULS Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Business Services Rankings?

ULS is ranked against every other Specialty Business Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Business Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About UL Solutions Inc.’s Valuation?

What is UL Solutions Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts UL Solutions Inc. (ULS)'s intrinsic value at $33.84 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $5.73 to $79.66. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $56.76 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ULS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $75.55, 1 of 9 active models suggest ULS may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $33.84, 55.2% below the current price of $75.55 — a consensus view that ULS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits UL Solutions Inc.'s business model in Specialty Business Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.6 mean for ULS?

UL Solutions Inc.'s QOC of 8.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ULS?

CirclFi analyzes ULS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ULS?

Of the 9 models currently active on ULS, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $79.66 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $5.73. CirclFi's published fair value for ULS is the median of that range, $33.84, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 219% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ULS a value trap in 2026?

UL Solutions Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, UL Solutions Inc. (ULS) has a median fair value of $33.84 — 55.2% below the current price of $75.55 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ULS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ULS valuation
  • Financial statements: UL Solutions Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001901440) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ULS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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