EchoStar Corporation (ECHO) Fair Value 2026

ECHO · Telecom Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (19/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, EchoStar Corporation (ECHO) trades at $86.47, versus a $112.34 median fair value across its 3 active models — 29.9% above the current price. QOC: 6.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 19/100 (SAFE). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ECHO
Price
$86.47
Quality Score
6.1/10
Value Trap Risk
19/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +44.8% upside with 45% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (3/13) may reduce confidence

Is EchoStar Corporation (ECHO) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, EchoStar Corporation (ECHO) appears undervalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $112.34, 29.9% above the current price of $86.47. Estimates range from $88.97 to $125.25. ECHO scores 6.1/10 on fundamental quality and 19/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. ECHO’s +29.9% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Telecom Services sector median is +30.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy EchoStar Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ECHO?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($86.47)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $125.25 +44.8%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $88.97 +2.9%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $112.34 +29.9%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is ECHO's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $88.97 to $125.25

CirclFi's 3 active models place EchoStar Corporation (ECHO) between $88.97 and $125.25 per share, a spread of 32% of the median. The median of that range — $112.34 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ECHO, against a current price of $86.47.

Low · PWERMHigh · Regime Cross
$88.97median $112.34$125.25
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelPWERM$88.97
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$125.25
Model agreement2 bullish · 0 bearishtight

The methods largely agree on ECHO. A band this narrow usually means stable, predictable cash flows that every approach reads the same way, and it is the strongest form of confirmation this engine can produce.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ECHO, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is EchoStar Corporation (ECHO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, EchoStar Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $112.34, suggesting a +29.9% median upside from the current price of $86.47. While 2 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 0 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $125.25 (+44.8%), versus PWERM at $88.97 (+2.9%). This +41.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About ECHO?

3 of 13 models are currently active for ECHO. All 3 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for ECHO is $112.34 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ECHO Rank in Telecom Services?

Among 55 Telecom Services stocks, ECHO ranks #31 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.1 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Telecom Services Stocks →

Within the Telecom Services space, EchoStar Corporation competes in an environment where subscriber churn rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is ECHO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ECHO a score of 19/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for EchoStar Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, EchoStar Corporation is rated at 6.1/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +41.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ECHO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ECHO's 3 active models, average confidence is 28%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy EchoStar Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Telecom Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Telecom Services stocks with 13-model coverage

LILALiberty Latin America Ltd.QOC 6.2CABOCable One, Inc.QOC 6.1SIFYSify Technologies LimitedQOC 6.3TEOTelecom Argentina S.A.QOC 6.1TDSTelephone and Data Systems, Inc.QOC 6.4VODVodafone Group Public Limited CompanyQOC 6.1NIXXNixxy, Inc.QOC 5.3TMUST-Mobile US, Inc.QOC 8.6TUTELUS CorporationQOC 7.4IRDMIridium Communications Inc.QOC 8.7IDTIDT CorporationQOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: LILA · CABO · SIFY · TEO · TDS · VOD · NIXX · TMUS · TU · IRDM · IDT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ECHO?

7 companies across all industries closest to ECHO’s Quality of Company score of 6.1/10.

INCRInterCure Ltd.QOC 6.1BBAIBigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.1OMOutset Medical, Inc.QOC 6.1CCThe Chemours CompanyQOC 6.1NSPRInspireMD, Inc.QOC 6.1TXOTXO Partners, L.P.QOC 6.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: INCR · BBAI · OM · CC · NSPR · TXO · NVDA

Where Does ECHO Sit in CirclFi's Telecom Services Rankings?

ECHO is ranked against every other Telecom Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Telecom Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About EchoStar Corporation’s Valuation?

What is EchoStar Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts EchoStar Corporation (ECHO)'s intrinsic value at $112.34 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $88.97 to $125.25. The Quality of Company score is 6.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ECHO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $86.47, 3 of 3 active models suggest ECHO may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $112.34, 29.9% above the current price of $86.47 — a consensus view that ECHO is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits EchoStar Corporation's business model in Telecom Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.1 mean for ECHO?

EchoStar Corporation's QOC of 6.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ECHO?

CirclFi analyzes ECHO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ECHO?

Of the 3 models currently active on ECHO, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $125.25 per share, and PWERM is the most bearish at $88.97. CirclFi's published fair value for ECHO is the median of that range, $112.34, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 32% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ECHO a value trap in 2026?

EchoStar Corporation's Value Trap score is 19/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, EchoStar Corporation (ECHO) has a median fair value of $112.34 — 29.9% above the current price of $86.47 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ECHO/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ECHO valuation
  • Financial statements: EchoStar Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001415404) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ECHO as of ; valuations recomputed .