Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. (AADX) Fair Value 2026

AADX · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

3.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. (AADX) trades at $14.42. QOC: 3.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AADX
Price
$14.42
Quality Score
3.5/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +22.1% upside with 12% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 3.5/10 signals weak fundamentals

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AADX?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($14.42)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Low Conviction
 $17.60 +22.1%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. (AADX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $17.60. At a current market price of $14.42, 1 of 1 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +22.1%.

What Do the Models Say About AADX?

1 of 13 models are currently active for AADX. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AADX Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 92 Aerospace & Defense stocks, AADX ranks #89 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 3.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 3.5 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc.'s positioning within the Aerospace & Defense segment means that R&D as percentage of revenue plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including aftermarket and MRO expansion — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is AADX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AADX a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. earns a quality score of 3.5/10. This concerning rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AADX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AADX's 1 active models, average confidence is 12%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

KITTNauticus Robotics, Inc.QOC 3.5ESLTElbit Systems Ltd.QOC 2.8DPCDPC Holdings PLCQOC 3.6PRZOParaZero Technologies Ltd.QOC 2.6YSSYork Space Systems, Inc.QOC 3.6TATTTAT Technologies Ltd.QOC 2.5VVXV2X, Inc.QOC 8.3RDWRedwire CorporationQOC 6.7MRLNMerlin, Inc.QOC 5.1BUKSButler National CorporationQOC 9.4HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: KITT · ESLT · DPC · PRZO · YSS · TATT · VVX · RDW · MRLN · BUKS · HWM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AADX?

7 companies across all industries closest to AADX’s Quality of Company score of 3.5/10.

REARare Earths Americas, Inc.QOC 3.5KARDKardigan, Inc.QOC 3.5ZVSAZyVersa Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 3.5GCDTGreen Circle Decarbonize TechnoQOC 3.5XCURExicure, Inc.QOC 3.5CSQRCsquare, Inc.QOC 3.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: REA · KARD · ZVSA · GCDT · XCUR · CSQR · NVDA

Where Does AADX Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

AADX is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. (AADX). The Quality of Company score is 3.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AADX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $14.42, 1 of 1 active models suggest AADX may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc.'s business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 3.5 mean for AADX?

Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc.'s QOC of 3.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AADX?

CirclFi analyzes AADX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is AADX a value trap in 2026?

Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. (AADX) a Quality of Company score of 3.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AADX/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AADX valuation
  • Financial statements: Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002118195) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AADX as of ; valuations recomputed .