Research Brief Updated 2026-07-13

Most Overvalued Stocks 2026

Most overvalued US stocks in 2026 by Bayesian DCF analysis. Identify stocks trading significantly above fair value.

3780 stocks analyzed 13 models active By CirclFi Research Team

Top 10

Screened from 3780 equities.

# Ticker Company Signal QOC Price DCF Downside Industry
1 PAVS Paranovus Entertainment Technol 2.1 $5.55 -99.7% Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation
2 SRXH SRX Global Inc. 3.7 $2.78 -99.3% Beverages
3 COMP Compass, Inc. 5.9 $11.50 -99.2% Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others)
4 NTCL NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY INC 2.6 $4.30 -99.2% Services-Prepackaged Software
5 SLMT Brera Holdings PLC 5.9 $6.63 -99.1% Services-Amusement & Recreation Services
6 BROS Dutch Bros Inc. 8.1 $66.47 -99.1% Retail-Eating & Drinking Places
7 PRSU Pursuit Attractions and Hospita 8.0 $52.98 -99.0% Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation
8 VTR Ventas, Inc. 4.9 $92.06 -99.0% Real Estate Investment Trusts
9 MTRN Materion Corporation 8.4 $246.55 -99.0% Metal Forgings & Stampings
10 INLF INLIF LIMITED 2.6 $2.95 -99.0% General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC
11 M••• Yorkville ••••• •.• $•••.•• ••.•% •••••
12 B••• Brookfield ••••• •.• $•••.•• ••.•% •••••
13 A••• ATI ••••• •.• $•••.•• ••.•% •••••
14 B••• BuzzFeed, ••••• •.• $•••.•• ••.•% •••••
15 S••• StandardAero, ••••• •.• $•••.•• ••.•% •••••
16 L••• Leapfrog ••••• •.• $•••.•• ••.•% •••••
17 N••• NIP ••••• •.• $•••.•• ••.•% •••••
18 F••• Flotek ••••• •.• $•••.•• ••.•% •••••
19 G••• GD ••••• •.• $•••.•• ••.•% •••••
20 T••• Twist ••••• •.• $•••.•• ••.•% •••••

You’re seeing 10 of 3780 stocks.

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How CirclFi Ranks All Stocks

CirclFi analyzes 3780 stocks daily using 13 independent models processing SEC EDGAR filings, FRED macro data, and GDELT sentiment.

Profitability Matrix

ROIC, Gross Margin expansion, and FCF Yield analysis.

Growth Vector

Revenue compounding vs. sector benchmarks.

Stability Index

Altman Z-Score, debt resilience, and earnings variance.

Methodology: DCF Downside

Downside is measured as the negative implied return from Bayesian DCF, highlighting stocks where the current price significantly exceeds the probability-weighted fair value.

Models: Bayesian DCF, EPV, First Chicago, Markov DDM, ML-RIV, FTNN Topology, and 7 more.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the most overvalued stocks in 2026?

CirclFi identifies the most overvalued stocks 2026 using 13 institutional-grade valuation models including Bayesian DCF (10,000 Monte Carlo simulations), EPV (Greenwald framework), and EROIC Spread (McKinsey). Rankings update daily from SEC EDGAR filings. The current top-ranked stock is PAVS (Paranovus Entertainment Technol).

How does CirclFi rank these stocks?

Stocks are ranked by DCF Downside derived from CirclFi's proprietary models. Each model independently processes SEC EDGAR financial data (700+ XBRL tags), FRED macroeconomic indicators, and GDELT news sentiment to produce confidence-weighted fair value estimates. The ranking methodology combines multiple valuation approaches — intrinsic, relative, scenario, and ensemble — for maximum robustness.

How often is the most overvalued stocks 2026 list updated?

This list is recalculated daily after US market close. Every stock is re-valued through all 13 models using the latest SEC EDGAR filings, market prices, and FRED macroeconomic data. Rankings can change daily as new financial data becomes available or market prices shift relative to fair value estimates.

What is the Quality of Company (QOC) score?

The QOC score is a 0-10 composite rating derived from 32 fundamental signals across four pillars: profitability (ROE, ROIC, margins), growth (revenue CAGR, earnings acceleration), stability (earnings volatility, debt coverage), and capital efficiency (asset turnover, free cash flow yield). Higher scores indicate stronger fundamentals. Scores above 7 represent top-tier companies.

How does this list compare to other stock screeners?

Unlike simple screeners that filter by P/E or dividend yield, CirclFi runs 13 independent institutional-grade valuation models on every stock — including Bayesian DCF with Monte Carlo simulation, Greenwald EPV, and McKinsey economic profit frameworks. Each stock receives over 76,000 data points of analysis daily. Most retail screeners use 1-2 metrics; CirclFi uses 13 models with 32 quality signals.