Trimble Inc. (TRMB) Fair Value 2026

TRMB · Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (14/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Trimble Inc. (TRMB) trades at $52.29, approximately 56% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $33.45. QOC: 9.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 14/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TRMB
Price
$52.29
Quality Score
9.3/10
Value Trap Risk
14/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.3/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($52.29)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$33.45 -36.0%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$28.65 -45.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Medium Conviction
$29.45 -43.7%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$29.26 -44.0%

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What Is Trimble Inc. (TRMB) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Trimble Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $30.82, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $52.29. With 10 out of 12 models flagging downside (-41.1% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, FTNN, places fair value at $58.28 (+11.5%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $11.80 (-77.4%). This +88.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Trimble Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About TRMB?

12 of 13 models are currently active for TRMB. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates TRMB's intrinsic value at $33.45, implying -36.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TRMB Rank in Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC?

Among 10 Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC stocks, TRMB ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.3 places TRMB in the top tier.

Trimble Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is TRMB a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TRMB a score of 14/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Trimble Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Trimble Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 9.3/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +88.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TRMB valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TRMB's 12 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Trimble Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

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Frequently Asked Questions About Trimble Inc.

What is Trimble Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Trimble Inc. (TRMB) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $33.45. The Quality of Company score is 9.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TRMB overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $52.29, 1 of 12 active models suggest TRMB may be undervalued, while 11 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Trimble Inc.'s business model in Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.3 mean for TRMB?

Trimble Inc.'s QOC of 9.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TRMB?

CirclFi analyzes TRMB with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is TRMB a value trap in 2026?

Trimble Inc.'s Value Trap score is 14/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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