Columbia Financial, Inc. (CLBK) Fair Value 2026

CLBK · Banks - Regional ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Columbia Financial, Inc. (CLBK) trades at $11.56, versus a $6.12 median fair value across its 6 active models — 47.1% below the current price. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 6/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CLBK
Price
$11.56
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: 6 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Columbia Financial, Inc. (CLBK) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Columbia Financial, Inc. (CLBK) appears overvalued as of : the median of 6 independent fair value estimates is $6.12, 47.1% below the current price of $11.56. Estimates range from $5.64 to $9.74. CLBK scores 7.4/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. CLBK’s -47.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Banks - Regional sector median is -22.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Columbia Financial, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CLBK?

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($11.56)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $6.06 -47.6%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $6.17 -46.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $6.81 -41.1%
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What Is CLBK's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 6 independent models · $5.64 to $9.74

CirclFi's 6 active models place Columbia Financial, Inc. (CLBK) between $5.64 and $9.74 per share, a spread of 67% of the median. The median of that range — $6.12 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CLBK, against a current price of $11.56.

Low · FTNNHigh · Regime Cross
$5.64median $6.12$9.74
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelFTNN Topology$5.64
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$9.74
Model agreement0 bullish · 6 bearishmoderate

A band of this width is typical. The methods agree on direction but weight growth, reinvestment and risk differently, so treat the median as a centre of gravity rather than a precise target.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CLBK, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Columbia Financial, Inc. (CLBK) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Columbia Financial, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $6.12. Trading at its current price of $11.56, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 6 of 6 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -47.1%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $9.74 (-15.8%), versus FTNN at $5.64 (-51.3%). This +35.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About CLBK?

6 of 13 models are currently active for CLBK. All 6 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for CLBK is $6.12 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CLBK Rank in Banks - Regional?

Among 352 Banks - Regional stocks, CLBK ranks #271 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Banks - Regional Stocks →

The Banks - Regional sector introduces analytical considerations specific to lending environment businesses. For Columbia Financial, Inc., metrics like deposit growth provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is CLBK a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CLBK a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for Columbia Financial, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Columbia Financial, Inc. scores 7.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +35.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CLBK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CLBK's 6 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Columbia Financial, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Banks - Regional Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Banks - Regional stocks with 13-model coverage

OCFCOceanFirst Financial Corp.QOC 7.4FNWDFinward BancorpQOC 7.4HOPEHope Bancorp, Inc.QOC 7.4TYFGTri-County Financial Group, Inc.QOC 7.4CMTVCommunity BancorpQOC 7.4MRBKMeridian CorporationQOC 7.4UNTYUnity Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.9SMBKSmartFinancial, Inc.QOC 8.3ENBPENB Financial CorpQOC 8.0STBAS&T Bancorp, Inc.QOC 9.3ESQEsquire Financial Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: OCFC · FNWD · HOPE · TYFG · CMTV · MRBK · UNTY · SMBK · ENBP · STBA · ESQ

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CLBK?

6 companies across all industries closest to CLBK’s Quality of Company score of 7.4/10.

EIXEdison InternationalQOC 7.4CGNTCognyte Software Ltd.QOC 7.4CVSCVS Health CorporationQOC 7.4KTOSKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.QOC 7.4HGVHilton Grand Vacations Inc.QOC 7.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: EIX · CGNT · CVS · KTOS · HGV · NVDA

Where Does CLBK Sit in CirclFi's Banks - Regional Rankings?

CLBK is ranked against every other Banks - Regional stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Banks - Regional stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Columbia Financial, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Columbia Financial, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Columbia Financial, Inc. (CLBK)'s intrinsic value at $6.12 — the median of 6 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $5.64 to $9.74. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CLBK overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $11.56, 0 of 6 active models suggest CLBK may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 6 fair value estimates is $6.12, 47.1% below the current price of $11.56 — a consensus view that CLBK is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Columbia Financial, Inc.'s business model in Banks - Regional.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for CLBK?

Columbia Financial, Inc.'s QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CLBK?

CirclFi analyzes CLBK with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CLBK?

Of the 6 models currently active on CLBK, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $9.74 per share, and FTNN Topology is the most bearish at $5.64. CirclFi's published fair value for CLBK is the median of that range, $6.12, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 67% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CLBK a value trap in 2026?

Columbia Financial, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Columbia Financial, Inc. (CLBK) has a median fair value of $6.12 — 47.1% below the current price of $11.56 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CLBK/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CLBK valuation
  • Financial statements: Columbia Financial, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002115119) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CLBK as of ; valuations recomputed .

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