Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. (FGPR) Fair Value 2026

FGPR · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (8/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. (FGPR) trades at $22.25, versus a $12.07 median fair value across its 2 active models — 45.8% below the current price. QOC: 6.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 8/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
FGPR
Price
$22.25
Quality Score
6.0/10
Value Trap Risk
8/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: 2 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. (FGPR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. (FGPR) appears overvalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $12.07, 45.8% below the current price of $22.25. Estimates range from $2.95 to $21.18. FGPR scores 6.0/10 on fundamental quality and 8/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. FGPR’s -45.8% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector median is -22.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give FGPR?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($22.25)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $21.18 -4.8%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $2.95 -86.7%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. (FGPR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ferrellgas Partners, L.P.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median $12.07, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $22.25. While the median implied return is -45.8%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +81.9% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, EPV, places fair value at $21.18 (-4.8%), while PWERM — the most conservative — estimates $2.95 (-86.7%). This +81.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Ferrellgas Partners, L.P.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About FGPR?

2 of 13 models are currently active for FGPR. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for FGPR is $12.07 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FGPR Rank in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing?

Among 18 Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, FGPR ranks #16 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.

As a energy sector, Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. operates in a sector where reserve replacement ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating FGPR should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is FGPR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FGPR a score of 8/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Ferrellgas Partners, L.P.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Ferrellgas Partners, L.P.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.0/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +81.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FGPR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FGPR's 2 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks with 13-model coverage

CLNEClean Energy Fuels Corp.QOC 6.5APCARKO Petroleum Corp.QOC 4.5CSANCosan S.A.QOC 6.6DLXYDelixy Holdings LimitedQOC 2.7BDCOBlue Dolphin Energy CompanyQOC 6.6UGPUltrapar Participações S.A.QOC 8.8PARRPar Pacific Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.6DINOHF Sinclair CorporationQOC 8.1CAPLCrossAmerica Partners LPQOC 7.1

Read investment analysis: CLNE · APC · CSAN · DLXY · BDCO · UGP · PARR · DINO · CAPL

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to FGPR?

7 companies across all industries closest to FGPR’s Quality of Company score of 6.0/10.

AQSTAquestive Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.0ASPIASP Isotopes Inc.QOC 6.0MXMagnachip Semiconductor CorporationQOC 6.0REFRResearch Frontiers IncorporatedQOC 6.0PXEDPhoenix Education Partners, Inc.QOC 6.0WBTNWEBTOON Entertainment Inc.QOC 6.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: AQST · ASPI · MX · REFR · PXED · WBTN · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Ferrellgas Partners, L.P.’s Valuation?

What is Ferrellgas Partners, L.P.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. (FGPR)'s intrinsic value at $12.07 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $2.95 to $21.18. The Quality of Company score is 6.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FGPR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $22.25, 0 of 2 active models suggest FGPR may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $12.07, 45.8% below the current price of $22.25 — a consensus view that FGPR is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Ferrellgas Partners, L.P.'s business model in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.0 mean for FGPR?

Ferrellgas Partners, L.P.'s QOC of 6.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FGPR?

CirclFi analyzes FGPR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is FGPR a value trap in 2026?

Ferrellgas Partners, L.P.'s Value Trap score is 8/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. (FGPR) has a median fair value of $12.07 — 45.8% below the current price of $22.25 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/FGPR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this FGPR valuation
  • Financial statements: Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000922358) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for FGPR as of ; valuations recomputed .