Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. (FGPR) Fair Value 2026

FGPR · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (8/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. (FGPR) trades at $22.30, versus a $108.26 median fair value across its 8 active models — 385.5% above the current price. QOC: 7.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 8/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
FGPR
Price
$22.30
Quality Score
7.5/10
Value Trap Risk
8/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: RCMH-DCF suggests +462.2% upside with 55% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (8/13) may reduce confidence

Is Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. (FGPR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. (FGPR) appears undervalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $108.26, 385.5% above the current price of $22.30. Estimates range from $7.82 to $130.32. FGPR scores 7.5/10 on fundamental quality and 8/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. FGPR’s +385.5% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector median is -10.6%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give FGPR?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($22.30)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $7.82 -64.9%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $107.48 +382.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $97.80 +338.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $125.36 +462.2%
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What Is FGPR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $7.82 to $130.32

CirclFi's 8 active models place Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. (FGPR) between $7.82 and $130.32 per share, a spread of 113% of the median. The median of that range — $108.26 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for FGPR, against a current price of $22.30.

Low · EPVHigh · PWERM
$7.82median $108.26$130.32
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$7.82
Most bullish modelPWERM$130.32
Model agreement7 bullish · 1 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for FGPR. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on FGPR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. (FGPR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Ferrellgas Partners, L.P.. Trading at $22.30 against an estimated intrinsic value of $108.26, 7 of 8 active models flag meaningful upside of +385.5% at the median. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $130.32 (+484.4%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $7.82 (-64.9%). This +549.3% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Ferrellgas Partners, L.P.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About FGPR?

8 of 13 models are currently active for FGPR. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for FGPR is $108.26 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FGPR Rank in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing?

Among 18 Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, FGPR ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.5 indicates above-average quality.

As a energy sector, Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. operates in a sector where reserve replacement ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating FGPR should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is FGPR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FGPR a score of 8/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Ferrellgas Partners, L.P.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Ferrellgas Partners, L.P.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.5/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +549.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FGPR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FGPR's 8 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks with 13-model coverage

DKDelek US Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.6WKCWorld Kinect CorporationQOC 7.4SUNSunoco LPQOC 7.7CVICVR Energy, Inc.QOC 7.3DINOHF Sinclair CorporationQOC 8.1CAPLCrossAmerica Partners LPQOC 7.1DKLDelek Logistics Partners, LPQOC 6.8UGPUltrapar Participações S.A.QOC 8.8PSXPhillips 66QOC 8.3PARRPar Pacific Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: DK · WKC · SUN · CVI · DINO · CAPL · DKL · UGP · PSX · PARR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to FGPR?

7 companies across all industries closest to FGPR’s Quality of Company score of 7.5/10.

ARKOArko Corp.QOC 7.5POWIPower Integrations, Inc.QOC 7.5IVTInvenTrust Properties Corp.QOC 7.5IPGPIPG Photonics CorporationQOC 7.5LFMDLifeMD, Inc.QOC 7.5SBMWSecurity Midwest Bancorp, Inc.QOC 7.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ARKO · POWI · IVT · IPGP · LFMD · SBMW · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Ferrellgas Partners, L.P.’s Valuation?

What is Ferrellgas Partners, L.P.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. (FGPR)'s intrinsic value at $108.26 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $7.82 to $130.32. The Quality of Company score is 7.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FGPR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $22.30, 7 of 8 active models suggest FGPR may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $108.26, 385.5% above the current price of $22.30 — a consensus view that FGPR is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Ferrellgas Partners, L.P.'s business model in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.5 mean for FGPR?

Ferrellgas Partners, L.P.'s QOC of 7.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FGPR?

CirclFi analyzes FGPR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on FGPR?

Of the 8 models currently active on FGPR, PWERM is the most bullish at $130.32 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $7.82. CirclFi's published fair value for FGPR is the median of that range, $108.26, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 113% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is FGPR a value trap in 2026?

Ferrellgas Partners, L.P.'s Value Trap score is 8/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. (FGPR) has a median fair value of $108.26 — 385.5% above the current price of $22.30 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/FGPR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this FGPR valuation
  • Financial statements: Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000922358) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for FGPR as of ; valuations recomputed .

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