Should You Buy Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. Stock in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. (FGPR) is rated as a strong fundamental performer with a QOC score of 7.5/10. Trading at $22.30, our valuation engine evaluates whether the market price reflects the company's underlying earnings power.
The short answer: 7 of 8 CirclFi valuation models project upside for Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. (FGPR) at $22.30 — the model consensus leans bullish, with a Quality Score of 7.5/10 and Value-Trap risk of 8/100. The full bull case, bear case, and risk factors are below. Educational analysis, not financial advice.
What Is the Investment Case for Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. (FGPR) in 2026?
What Is the Bull Case vs the Bear Case for Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. (FGPR)?
| Bull case — $130.32 target (+484.4%) | Bear case — $7.82 target (-64.9%) |
|---|---|
| According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Ferrellgas Partners, L.P.'s rating of 7.5/10 signals strong fundamentals — high-quality businesses tend to compound value more reliably. | According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the Earnings Power Value (EPV) model sees the stock as overvalued with a fair value of $7.82 (-64.9%), suggesting that the market price embeds overly optimistic growth assumptions. |
| According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, 7 of 8 models identify upside from $22.30 to a median fair value of $108.26, indicating the market hasn't fully priced in Ferrellgas Partners, L.P.'s earnings power. | According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, model disagreement is high with a +549.3% spread between the most bullish and bearish models, signaling elevated analytical uncertainty. |
| According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the PWERM model targets a fair value of $130.32 (+484.4%), anchoring the bull case with a methodology that provides a differentiated analytical lens. | Industry headwind: commodity price volatility represents a meaningful risk for Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. and its Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing peers. |
| Industry tailwind: production growth trajectory could provide meaningful support for Ferrellgas Partners, L.P.'s revenue and margin trajectory in the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space. |
How Does FGPR Compare to Its Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Peers?
Valuation data pages: DK · WKC · SUN · CVI · DINO · CAPL · DKL · UGP · PSX · PARR
Which Other Stocks Score Like FGPR on Quality?
Closest companies to FGPR’s Quality of Company score of 7.5/10, across all industries.
- ARKO — Arko Corp. (QOC 7.5) · analysis
- POWI — Power Integrations, Inc. (QOC 7.5) · analysis
- IVT — InvenTrust Properties Corp. (QOC 7.5) · analysis
- IPGP — IPG Photonics Corporation (QOC 7.5) · analysis
- LFMD — LifeMD, Inc. (QOC 7.5) · analysis
- SBMW — Security Midwest Bancorp, Inc. (QOC 7.5) · analysis
- NVDA — NVIDIA Corporation (QOC 10.0) · analysis
So Is Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. (FGPR) Worth Buying in 2026?
Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. at $22.30 presents what our engine identifies as a high-conviction opportunity: 7 of 8 models see upside, quality stands at 7.5/10, and the median fair value of $108.26 implies +385.5% return potential. Investors should verify this thesis against their own risk parameters and time horizon.
These are quantitative model outputs, not investment recommendations. Ferrellgas Partners, L.P.'s future depends on factors — management execution, competitive dynamics, regulatory changes — that no algorithm can fully capture. See all 13 model estimates →
What Else Do Investors Ask About FGPR Stock?
Should I buy FGPR stock right now?
Based on CirclFi's multi-model analysis, 7 of 8 models see upside for FGPR at $22.30. The majority of models suggest the stock trades below fair value, but investors should weigh this against the Quality Score of 7.5/10 and individual risk tolerance. This is not a buy recommendation — see our full disclaimer.
What are the biggest risks of investing in Ferrellgas Partners, L.P.?
Key risks include: wide model disagreement (1567% spread), signaling high uncertainty; general market and sector-specific risks affecting Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing companies. Always diversify and consult a financial advisor.
How does FGPR compare to its competitors?
Among Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing peers, FGPR holds a Quality Score of 7.5/10. Comparable companies include DK (QOC 7.6), WKC (QOC 7.4), SUN (QOC 7.7). The relative ranking helps investors identify whether FGPR offers better fundamental quality than alternatives in the same sector.
Is FGPR a good long-term investment?
Long-term investment potential depends on fundamental quality and sustainable competitive advantages. FGPR's Quality Score of 7.5/10 is encouraging for long-term holders, indicating consistent profitability, manageable debt, and healthy cash flows. Check our full data page for all 13 model estimates.
What price should I buy FGPR at?
CirclFi does not provide target buy prices or price alerts. However, our 8 active models produce fair value estimates ranging from $7.82 to $130.32. At $22.30, the stock trades within the range of model estimates. Many value investors look for a 20-30% margin of safety below intrinsic value before buying.
Want the complete picture?
See all 13 model estimates, confidence scores, and the full valuation table for FGPR.
Disclaimer: This article is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models and is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice, a buy/sell recommendation, or a solicitation to trade securities. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR, FRED, and GDELT. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. Full disclaimer →
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