What Is Annaly Capital Management Inc. (NLY) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Annaly Capital Management Inc. at $22.54. With an estimated intrinsic value of $42.73 and 6 of 10 models pointing higher, the average implied return is +89.6%. The most optimistic model, RCMH-DCF, places fair value at $122.67 (+444.4%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $6.16 (-72.7%). This +517.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Annaly Capital Management Inc.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About NLY?
10 of 13 models are currently active for NLY. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does NLY Rank in Real Estate Investment Trusts?
Among 183 Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks, NLY ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.5 places NLY in the top tier.
See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks →
Within the Real Estate Investment Trusts space, Annaly Capital Management Inc. competes in an environment where net asset value (NAV) premium/discount often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is NLY a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NLY a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
10 of 13 models are active for Annaly Capital Management Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Annaly Capital Management Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.5/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +517.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every NLY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across NLY's 10 active models, average confidence is 36%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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