Universal Logistics Holdings, I (ULH) Fair Value 2026

ULH · Trucking (No Local) ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Universal Logistics Holdings, I (ULH) trades at $14.88, approximately 8% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $16.11. QOC: 7.2/10. 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ULH
Price
$14.88
Quality Score
7.2/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +152.2% upside with 4% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($14.88)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$16.11 +8.3%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$33.01 +121.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$37.52 +152.2%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$19.27 +29.5%

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What Is Universal Logistics Holdings, I (ULH) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Universal Logistics Holdings, I's intrinsic value is estimated at $30.22, suggesting a +103.1% average upside from the current price of $14.88. While 8 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 3 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: EROIC targets $66.14 (+344.5%), versus ML-RIV at $5.54 (-62.8%). This +407.3% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About ULH?

11 of 13 models are currently active for ULH. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ULH's intrinsic value at $16.11, implying +8.3% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ULH Rank in Trucking (No Local)?

Among 12 Trucking (No Local) stocks, ULH ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.2 indicates above-average quality.

As a transportation company, Universal Logistics Holdings, I operates in a sector where fleet electrification pace is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating ULH should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is ULH a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for ULH. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Universal Logistics Holdings, I. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Universal Logistics Holdings, I is rated at 7.2/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +407.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ULH valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ULH's 11 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Universal Logistics Holdings, I Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Trucking (No Local) Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

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Frequently Asked Questions About Universal Logistics Holdings, I

What is Universal Logistics Holdings, I's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Universal Logistics Holdings, I (ULH) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $16.11. The Quality of Company score is 7.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ULH overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $14.88, 8 of 11 active models suggest ULH may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Universal Logistics Holdings, I's business model in Trucking (No Local).

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.2 mean for ULH?

Universal Logistics Holdings, I's QOC of 7.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ULH?

CirclFi analyzes ULH with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ULH a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for ULH at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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