What Is Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $91.15, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $225.23. With 13 out of 13 models flagging downside (-59.5% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $213.52 (-5.2%), versus Markov DDM at $3.73 (-98.3%). This +93.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About ODFL?
13 of 13 models are currently active for ODFL. All 13 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates ODFL's intrinsic value at $73.98, implying -67.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ODFL Rank in Trucking (No Local)?
Among 12 Trucking (No Local) stocks, ODFL ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.2 reflects mixed fundamentals.
As a transportation company, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. operates in a sector where fleet electrification pace is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating ODFL should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is ODFL a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for ODFL. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 4.2/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +93.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ODFL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ODFL's 13 active models, average confidence is 31%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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