Schneider National, Inc. (SNDR) Fair Value 2026

SNDR · Trucking (No Local) ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Schneider National, Inc. (SNDR) trades at $36.67, approximately 171% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $13.54. QOC: 8.2/10. 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SNDR
Price
$36.67
Quality Score
8.2/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.2/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($36.67)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$13.54 -63.1%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$13.14 -64.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$17.66 -51.8%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$28.20 -23.1%

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What Is Schneider National, Inc. (SNDR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Schneider National, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $19.37, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $36.67. With 11 out of 13 models flagging downside (-47.2% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $39.19 (+6.9%), versus Markov DDM at $5.78 (-84.2%). This +91.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About SNDR?

13 of 13 models are currently active for SNDR. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SNDR's intrinsic value at $13.54, implying -63.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SNDR Rank in Trucking (No Local)?

Among 12 Trucking (No Local) stocks, SNDR ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.2 places SNDR in the top tier.

Within the Trucking (No Local) space, Schneider National, Inc. competes in an environment where units delivered often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is SNDR a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for SNDR. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Schneider National, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Schneider National, Inc. is rated at 8.2/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +91.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SNDR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SNDR's 13 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Schneider National, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Trucking (No Local) Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Trucking (No Local) stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: SAIA · LSTR · JBHT · MRTN · KNX

Frequently Asked Questions About Schneider National, Inc.

What is Schneider National, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Schneider National, Inc. (SNDR) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $13.54. The Quality of Company score is 8.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SNDR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $36.67, 1 of 13 active models suggest SNDR may be undervalued, while 12 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Schneider National, Inc.'s business model in Trucking (No Local).

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.2 mean for SNDR?

Schneider National, Inc.'s QOC of 8.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SNDR?

CirclFi analyzes SNDR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SNDR a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for SNDR at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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