What Is Marten Transport, Ltd. (MRTN) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Marten Transport, Ltd. at its current price of $17.41. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $12.33 (-29.2% average return), with 9 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, Bayesian DCF, places fair value at $21.65 (+24.4%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $2.05 (-88.2%). This +112.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Marten Transport, Ltd.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About MRTN?
13 of 13 models are currently active for MRTN. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MRTN's intrinsic value at $21.65, implying +24.4% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does MRTN Rank in Trucking (No Local)?
Among 12 Trucking (No Local) stocks, MRTN ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.
As a automotive sector, Marten Transport, Ltd. operates in a sector where EV mix percentage is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating MRTN should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is MRTN a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MRTN a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Marten Transport, Ltd.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Marten Transport, Ltd.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.6/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +112.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every MRTN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across MRTN's 13 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad