What Is RXO, Inc. (RXO) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, RXO, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $15.10, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $28.04. With 11 out of 13 models flagging downside (-46.2% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $53.73 (+91.6%), while RCMH-DCF — the most conservative — estimates $1.83 (-93.5%). This +185.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about RXO, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About RXO?
13 of 13 models are currently active for RXO. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates RXO's intrinsic value at $4.89, implying -82.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does RXO Rank in Transportation Services?
Among 18 Transportation Services stocks, RXO ranks #11 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.8 indicates above-average quality.
As a automotive sector, RXO, Inc. operates in a sector where units delivered is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating RXO should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is RXO a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RXO a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for RXO, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, RXO, Inc. is rated at 6.8/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +185.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every RXO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across RXO's 13 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad