What Is Radian Group Inc. (RDN) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Radian Group Inc. at $38.00. With an estimated intrinsic value of $58.09 and 8 of 13 models pointing higher, the average implied return is +52.9%. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $216.50 (+469.7%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $4.87 (-87.2%). This +556.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Radian Group Inc.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About RDN?
13 of 13 models are currently active for RDN. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates RDN's intrinsic value at $26.88, implying -29.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does RDN Rank in Surety Insurance?
Among 7 Surety Insurance stocks, RDN ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.
The Surety Insurance sector introduces analytical considerations specific to insurance industry businesses. For Radian Group Inc., metrics like investment float provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is RDN a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RDN a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Radian Group Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Radian Group Inc. earns a quality score of 6.6/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +556.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every RDN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across RDN's 13 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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