Should You Buy Radian Group Inc. Stock in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Radian Group Inc. (RDN) scores a robust 7.6/10 on our 32-signal Quality of Company framework. At the current market price of $35.36 and a $4.7B market cap, our analysis maps this fundamental strength against 13 institutional-grade models to determine if a sufficient margin of safety exists.
The short answer: 6 of 6 CirclFi valuation models project upside for Radian Group Inc. (RDN) at $35.36 — the model consensus leans bullish, with a Quality Score of 7.6/10 and Value-Trap risk of 24/100. The full bull case, bear case, and risk factors are below. Educational analysis, not financial advice.
What Is the Investment Case for Radian Group Inc. (RDN) in 2026?
What Is the Bull Case vs the Bear Case for Radian Group Inc. (RDN)?
| Bull case — $62.27 target (+76.1%) | Bear case |
|---|---|
| According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Radian Group Inc.'s rating of 7.6/10 signals strong fundamentals — high-quality businesses tend to compound value more reliably. | No active model flags significant downside for RDN. The low Value Trap score paints a constructive picture. |
| According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, 5 of 6 models identify upside from $35.36 to a median fair value of $46.84, indicating the market hasn't fully priced in Radian Group Inc.'s earnings power. | |
| According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the Regime Cross-Sectional model targets a fair value of $62.27 (+76.1%), anchoring the bull case with a methodology that provides a differentiated analytical lens. | |
| Industry tailwind: investment income yield could provide meaningful support for Radian Group Inc.'s revenue and margin trajectory in the Insurance - Specialty space. |
How Does RDN Compare to Its Insurance - Specialty Peers?
Valuation data pages: AGO · EIG · AMSF · STLY · FNF · JRVR · OSG · ACT · FAF · NMIH · ESNT
Which Other Stocks Score Like RDN on Quality?
Closest companies to RDN’s Quality of Company score of 7.6/10, across all industries.
- GCO — Genesco Inc. (QOC 7.6) · analysis
- VTSI — VirTra, Inc. (QOC 7.6) · analysis
- BTMD — biote Corp. (QOC 7.6) · analysis
- MDLZ — Mondelez International, Inc. (QOC 7.6) · analysis
- INTT — InTest Corporation (QOC 7.6) · analysis
- TRVG — trivago N.V. (QOC 7.6) · analysis
- NVDA — NVIDIA Corporation (QOC 10.0) · analysis
So Is Radian Group Inc. (RDN) Worth Buying in 2026?
The convergence of 7.6/10 quality, multi-model undervaluation (5/6 bullish, +32.5% median upside), and a median fair value of $46.84 vs. $35.36 current price makes Radian Group Inc. one of the more compelling opportunities in our coverage. As always, our models provide a quantitative starting point — not a substitute for individual due diligence.
These are quantitative model outputs, not investment recommendations. Radian Group Inc.'s future depends on factors — management execution, competitive dynamics, regulatory changes — that no algorithm can fully capture. See all 13 model estimates →
What Else Do Investors Ask About RDN Stock?
Should I buy RDN stock right now?
Based on CirclFi's multi-model analysis, 6 of 6 models see upside for RDN at $35.36. The majority of models suggest the stock trades below fair value, but investors should weigh this against the Quality Score of 7.6/10 and individual risk tolerance. This is not a buy recommendation — see our full disclaimer.
What are the biggest risks of investing in Radian Group Inc.?
Key risks include: limited model coverage (6/13 active), reducing analytical confidence; general market and sector-specific risks affecting Insurance - Specialty companies. Always diversify and consult a financial advisor.
How does RDN compare to its competitors?
Among Insurance - Specialty peers, RDN holds a Quality Score of 7.6/10. Comparable companies include AGO (QOC 7.8), EIG (QOC 7.5), AMSF (QOC 7.8). The relative ranking helps investors identify whether RDN offers better fundamental quality than alternatives in the same sector.
Is RDN a good long-term investment?
Long-term investment potential depends on fundamental quality and sustainable competitive advantages. RDN's Quality Score of 7.6/10 is encouraging for long-term holders, indicating consistent profitability, manageable debt, and healthy cash flows. Check our full data page for all 13 model estimates.
What price should I buy RDN at?
CirclFi does not provide target buy prices or price alerts. However, our 6 active models produce fair value estimates ranging from $36.10 to $62.27. At $35.36, the stock trades below even the most conservative estimate, which may represent a margin of safety — or reflect risks the models don't capture. Many value investors look for a 20-30% margin of safety below intrinsic value before buying.
Want the complete picture?
See all 13 model estimates, confidence scores, and the full valuation table for RDN.
Disclaimer: This article is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models and is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice, a buy/sell recommendation, or a solicitation to trade securities. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR, FRED, and GDELT. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. Full disclaimer →
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