Eni S.p.A. (E) Fair Value 2026

E · Oil & Gas Integrated ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Eni S.p.A. (E) trades at $52.81, versus a $46.12 median fair value across its 12 active models — 12.7% below the current price. QOC: 7.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $44.97.

Key Facts

Ticker
E
Price
$52.81
Quality Score
7.3/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +12.5% upside with 46% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Eni S.p.A. (E) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Eni S.p.A. (E) appears overvalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $46.12, 12.7% below the current price of $52.81. Estimates range from $8.05 to $103.78. E scores 7.3/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. E’s -12.7% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Integrated sector median is -24.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Eni S.p.A. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give E?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($52.81)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $44.97 -14.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $8.05 -84.8%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $47.27 -10.5%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $59.41 +12.5%
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What Is E's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $8.05 to $103.78

CirclFi's 12 active models place Eni S.p.A. (E) between $8.05 and $103.78 per share, a spread of 208% of the median. The median of that range — $46.12 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for E, against a current price of $52.81.

Low · EPVHigh · Markov DDM
$8.05median $46.12$103.78
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$8.05
Most bullish modelMarkov DDM$103.78
Model agreement5 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for E. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on E, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Eni S.p.A. (E) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Eni S.p.A. at its current price of $52.81. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $46.12 (-12.7% vs price), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $103.78 (+96.5%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $8.05 (-84.8%). This +181.3% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Eni S.p.A.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About E?

12 of 13 models are currently active for E. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for E is $46.12 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $44.97 on its own, implying -14.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does E Rank in Oil & Gas Integrated?

Among 20 Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, E ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.3 indicates above-average quality.

As a energy sector, Eni S.p.A. operates in a sector where finding and development costs (F&D) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating E should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is E a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns E a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Eni S.p.A.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Eni S.p.A. is rated at 7.3/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +181.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every E valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across E's 12 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Eni S.p.A. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Integrated Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas Integrated stocks with 13-model coverage

SUSuncor Energy Inc.QOC 7.3DECDiversified Energy CompanyQOC 7.2BPBP p.l.c.QOC 7.4SLNGStabilis Solutions, Inc.QOC 6.9SHELShell plcQOC 8.1YPFYPF Sociedad AnónimaQOC 6.2ECTMECA Marcellus Trust IQOC 5.2PBRPetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - PetrobrasQOC 2.4NFGNational Fuel Gas CompanyQOC 8.4ECEcopetrol S.A.QOC 9.0TGSTransportadora de Gas del Sur S.A.QOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: SU · DEC · BP · SLNG · SHEL · YPF · ECTM · PBR · NFG · EC · TGS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to E?

7 companies across all industries closest to E’s Quality of Company score of 7.3/10.

RGCORGC Resources, Inc.QOC 7.3ADNTAdient plcQOC 7.3TGTredegar CorporationQOC 7.3SRTSSensus Healthcare, Inc.QOC 7.3CPBThe Campbell's CompanyQOC 7.3STNGScorpio Tankers Inc.QOC 7.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: RGCO · ADNT · TG · SRTS · CPB · STNG · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Eni S.p.A.’s Valuation?

What is Eni S.p.A.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Eni S.p.A. (E)'s intrinsic value at $46.12 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $8.05 to $103.78. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $44.97 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is E overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $52.81, 5 of 12 active models suggest E may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $46.12, 12.7% below the current price of $52.81 — a consensus view that E is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Eni S.p.A.'s business model in Oil & Gas Integrated.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.3 mean for E?

Eni S.p.A.'s QOC of 7.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on E?

CirclFi analyzes E with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on E?

Of the 12 models currently active on E, Markov DDM is the most bullish at $103.78 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $8.05. CirclFi's published fair value for E is the median of that range, $46.12, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 208% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is E a value trap in 2026?

Eni S.p.A.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Eni S.p.A. (E) has a median fair value of $46.12 — 12.7% below the current price of $52.81 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/E/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this E valuation
  • Financial statements: Eni S.p.A. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001002242) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for E as of ; valuations recomputed .

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