What Is Diversified Energy Company (DEC) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Diversified Energy Company. Trading at $13.74 against an estimated intrinsic value of $42.60, 11 of 12 active models flag meaningful upside of +210.0% on average. The most optimistic model, Bayesian DCF, places fair value at $73.39 (+434.2%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $0.92 (-93.3%). This +527.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Diversified Energy Company's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About DEC?
12 of 13 models are currently active for DEC. Of these, 11 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates DEC's intrinsic value at $73.39, implying +434.2% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does DEC Rank in Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas?
Among 80 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas stocks, DEC ranks #57 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.7 reflects mixed fundamentals.
See all Most Undervalued Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas Stocks →
Diversified Energy Company's positioning within the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas segment means that finding and development costs (F&D) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including production growth trajectory — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is DEC a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for DEC. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Diversified Energy Company. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Diversified Energy Company scores 5.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +527.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every DEC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across DEC's 12 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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