What Is YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, YPF Sociedad Anonima presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $48.45. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $36.91 (-23.8% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 5 bullish models and 5 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $66.53 (+37.3%), versus Markov DDM at $8.18 (-83.1%). This +120.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About YPF?
11 of 13 models are currently active for YPF. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates YPF's intrinsic value at $15.70, implying -67.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does YPF Rank in Petroleum Refining?
Among 17 Petroleum Refining stocks, YPF ranks #17 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.0 signals below-average fundamentals.
Within the Petroleum Refining space, YPF Sociedad Anonima competes in an environment where production decline rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is YPF a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for YPF. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
11 of 13 models are active for YPF Sociedad Anonima. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, YPF Sociedad Anonima's fundamental quality profile registers 2.0/10. This concerning score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +120.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every YPF valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across YPF's 11 active models, average confidence is 9%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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