TotalEnergies SE (TTE) Fair Value 2026

TTE · Oil & Gas Integrated ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, TotalEnergies SE (TTE) trades at $86.35, versus a $130.71 median fair value across its 2 active models — 51.4% above the current price. QOC: 2.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TTE
Price
$86.35
Quality Score
2.9/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Markov DDM suggests +118.4% upside with 41% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.9/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is TotalEnergies SE (TTE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, TotalEnergies SE (TTE) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $130.71, 51.4% above the current price of $86.35. Estimates range from $72.80 to $188.62. TTE scores 2.9/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. TTE’s +51.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Integrated sector median is -24.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy TotalEnergies SE Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TTE?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($86.35)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $188.62 +118.4%
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $72.80 -15.7%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is TotalEnergies SE (TTE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, TotalEnergies SE's intrinsic value is estimated at a median $130.71, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $86.35. While the median implied return is +51.4%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +134.1% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $188.62 (+118.4%), while Regime Cross — the most conservative — estimates $72.80 (-15.7%). This +134.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about TotalEnergies SE's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About TTE?

2 of 13 models are currently active for TTE. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for TTE is $130.71 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TTE Rank in Oil & Gas Integrated?

Among 20 Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, TTE ranks #18 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.9 signals below-average fundamentals.

As a energy sector, TotalEnergies SE operates in a sector where breakeven oil price is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating TTE should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is TTE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TTE a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for TotalEnergies SE. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, TotalEnergies SE is rated at 2.9/10. This weak-tier score exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +134.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TTE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TTE's 2 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy TotalEnergies SE Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Integrated Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Oil & Gas Integrated stocks with 13-model coverage

IMOImperial Oil LimitedQOC 4.1EQNREquinor ASAQOC 2.7SKYQSky Quarry Inc.QOC 4.5PBRPetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - PetrobrasQOC 2.4ECTMECA Marcellus Trust IQOC 5.2ECEcopetrol S.A.QOC 9.0CVXChevron CorporationQOC 8.6BPBP p.l.c.QOC 7.4YPFYPF Sociedad AnónimaQOC 6.2TGSTransportadora de Gas del Sur S.A.QOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: IMO · EQNR · SKYQ · PBR · ECTM · EC · CVX · BP · YPF · TGS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TTE?

7 companies across all industries closest to TTE’s Quality of Company score of 2.9/10.

RDWRRadware Ltd.QOC 2.9YALAYalla Group LimitedQOC 2.9FOFOHang Feng Technology Innovation Co., Ltd.QOC 2.9WOKWORK Medical Technology Group LTDQOC 2.8MTArcelorMittal S.A.QOC 2.9RMSGReal Messenger CorporationQOC 2.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: RDWR · YALA · FOFO · WOK · MT · RMSG · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About TotalEnergies SE’s Valuation?

What is TotalEnergies SE's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts TotalEnergies SE (TTE)'s intrinsic value at $130.71 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $72.80 to $188.62. The Quality of Company score is 2.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TTE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $86.35, 1 of 2 active models suggest TTE may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $130.71, 51.4% above the current price of $86.35 — a consensus view that TTE is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits TotalEnergies SE's business model in Oil & Gas Integrated.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.9 mean for TTE?

TotalEnergies SE's QOC of 2.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TTE?

CirclFi analyzes TTE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is TTE a value trap in 2026?

TotalEnergies SE's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, TotalEnergies SE (TTE) has a median fair value of $130.71 — 51.4% above the current price of $86.35 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TTE/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TTE valuation
  • Financial statements: TotalEnergies SE 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000879764) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for TTE as of ; valuations recomputed .