Boxabl Inc. (BXBL) Fair Value 2026

BXBL · Residential Construction ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (10/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Boxabl Inc. (BXBL) trades at $4.28, versus a $0.08 median fair value across its 2 active models — 98.1% below the current price. QOC: 6.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 10/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BXBL
Price
$4.28
Quality Score
6.1/10
Value Trap Risk
10/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: 2 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Boxabl Inc. (BXBL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Boxabl Inc. (BXBL) appears overvalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $0.08, 98.1% below the current price of $4.28. Estimates range from $0.05 to $0.12. BXBL scores 6.1/10 on fundamental quality and 10/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. BXBL’s -98.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Residential Construction sector median is -15.3%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Boxabl Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give BXBL?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($4.28)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
 $0.12 -97.3%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $0.05 -98.8%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Boxabl Inc. (BXBL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Boxabl Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $0.08. Trading at its current price of $4.28, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 2 of 2 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -98.1%.

What Do the Models Say About BXBL?

2 of 13 models are currently active for BXBL. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for BXBL is $0.08 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BXBL Rank in Residential Construction?

Among 21 Residential Construction stocks, BXBL ranks #19 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.1 indicates above-average quality.

Boxabl Inc.'s positioning within the Residential Construction segment means that margin expansion trajectory plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including aftermarket and services growth — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is BXBL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BXBL a score of 10/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Boxabl Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Boxabl Inc. earns a quality score of 6.1/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

Models cluster within a tight range (+1.6% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BXBL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BXBL's 2 active models, average confidence is 13%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Boxabl Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Residential Construction Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Residential Construction stocks with 13-model coverage

LGIHLGI Homes, Inc.QOC 6.2SPHLSpringview Holdings LtdQOC 5.8BZHBeazer Homes USA, Inc.QOC 6.7VNJAVanjia CorporationQOC 5.6HOVHovnanian Enterprises, Inc.QOC 6.9IBPInstalled Building Products, Inc.QOC 9.2SKYChampion Homes, Inc.QOC 9.0DHID.R. Horton, Inc.QOC 8.4LENLennar CorporationQOC 7.4TOLToll Brothers, Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: LGIH · SPHL · BZH · VNJA · HOV · IBP · SKY · DHI · LEN · TOL

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to BXBL?

7 companies across all industries closest to BXBL’s Quality of Company score of 6.1/10.

RILYBRC Group Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.1TEOTelecom Argentina S.A.QOC 6.1IMRNImmuron LimitedQOC 6.1FSKFS KKR Capital Corp.QOC 6.1SMRTSmartRent, Inc.QOC 6.1INISRadnostix, Inc.QOC 6.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: RILY · TEO · IMRN · FSK · SMRT · INIS · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Boxabl Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Boxabl Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Boxabl Inc. (BXBL)'s intrinsic value at $0.08 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.05 to $0.12. The Quality of Company score is 6.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BXBL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $4.28, 0 of 2 active models suggest BXBL may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $0.08, 98.1% below the current price of $4.28 — a consensus view that BXBL is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Boxabl Inc.'s business model in Residential Construction.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.1 mean for BXBL?

Boxabl Inc.'s QOC of 6.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BXBL?

CirclFi analyzes BXBL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is BXBL a value trap in 2026?

Boxabl Inc.'s Value Trap score is 10/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Boxabl Inc. (BXBL) has a median fair value of $0.08 — 98.1% below the current price of $4.28 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BXBL/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this BXBL valuation
  • Financial statements: Boxabl Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001906364) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for BXBL as of ; valuations recomputed .