Willdan Group, Inc. (WLDN) Fair Value 2026

WLDN · Engineering & Construction ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (14/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Willdan Group, Inc. (WLDN) trades at $87.87, versus a $56.54 median fair value across its 9 active models — 35.7% below the current price. QOC: 8.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 14/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $26.02.

Key Facts

Ticker
WLDN
Price
$87.87
Quality Score
8.5/10
Value Trap Risk
14/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +3.2% upside with 59% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Willdan Group, Inc. (WLDN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Willdan Group, Inc. (WLDN) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $56.54, 35.7% below the current price of $87.87. Estimates range from $21.39 to $130.75. WLDN scores 8.5/10 on fundamental quality and 14/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. WLDN’s -35.7% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Engineering & Construction sector median is -33.6%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Willdan Group, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give WLDN?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($87.87)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $26.02 -70.4%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $56.54 -35.7%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $90.72 +3.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $39.41 -55.2%
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What Is WLDN's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $21.39 to $130.75

CirclFi's 9 active models place Willdan Group, Inc. (WLDN) between $21.39 and $130.75 per share, a spread of 193% of the median. The median of that range — $56.54 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for WLDN, against a current price of $87.87.

Low · EROICHigh · Regime Cross
$21.39median $56.54$130.75
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$21.39
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$130.75
Model agreement2 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for WLDN. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on WLDN, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Willdan Group, Inc. (WLDN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Willdan Group, Inc. at its current price of $87.87. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $56.54 (-35.7% vs price), with 6 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $130.75 (+48.8%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $21.39 (-75.7%). This +124.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Willdan Group, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About WLDN?

9 of 13 models are currently active for WLDN. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for WLDN is $56.54 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $26.02 on its own, implying -70.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does WLDN Rank in Engineering & Construction?

Among 53 Engineering & Construction stocks, WLDN ranks #13 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.5 places WLDN in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Engineering & Construction Stocks →

As a industrial sector, Willdan Group, Inc. operates in a sector where capacity utilization rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating WLDN should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is WLDN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns WLDN a score of 14/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Willdan Group, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Willdan Group, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.5/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +124.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every WLDN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across WLDN's 9 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Willdan Group, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Engineering & Construction Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Engineering & Construction stocks with 13-model coverage

APGAPi Group CorporationQOC 8.5STNStantec Inc.QOC 8.5PWRQuanta Services, Inc.QOC 8.5GVAGranite Construction IncorporatedQOC 8.5TTEKTetra Tech, Inc.QOC 8.5ACAArcosa, Inc.QOC 8.4AMRCAmeresco, Inc.QOC 7.5FBGLFBS Global LimitedQOC 5.8MSGYMasonglory LimitedQOC 2.7FIXComfort Systems USA, Inc.QOC 9.6STRLSterling Infrastructure, Inc.QOC 9.5

Read investment analysis: APG · STN · PWR · GVA · TTEK · ACA · AMRC · FBGL · MSGY · FIX · STRL

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to WLDN?

7 companies across all industries closest to WLDN’s Quality of Company score of 8.5/10.

WDSWoodside Energy Group LtdQOC 8.5HBTHBT Financial, Inc.QOC 8.5WDLFDecentral Life, Inc.QOC 8.5RSSSResearch Solutions, Inc.QOC 8.5VASOVaso CorporationQOC 8.5AXONAxon Enterprise, Inc.QOC 8.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: WDS · HBT · WDLF · RSSS · VASO · AXON · NVDA

Where Does WLDN Sit in CirclFi's Engineering & Construction Rankings?

WLDN is ranked against every other Engineering & Construction stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Engineering & Construction stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Willdan Group, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Willdan Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Willdan Group, Inc. (WLDN)'s intrinsic value at $56.54 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $21.39 to $130.75. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $26.02 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is WLDN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $87.87, 3 of 9 active models suggest WLDN may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $56.54, 35.7% below the current price of $87.87 — a consensus view that WLDN is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Willdan Group, Inc.'s business model in Engineering & Construction.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.5 mean for WLDN?

Willdan Group, Inc.'s QOC of 8.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on WLDN?

CirclFi analyzes WLDN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on WLDN?

Of the 9 models currently active on WLDN, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $130.75 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $21.39. CirclFi's published fair value for WLDN is the median of that range, $56.54, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 193% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is WLDN a value trap in 2026?

Willdan Group, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 14/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Willdan Group, Inc. (WLDN) has a median fair value of $56.54 — 35.7% below the current price of $87.87 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/WLDN/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this WLDN valuation
  • Financial statements: Willdan Group, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001370450) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for WLDN as of ; valuations recomputed .

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