Universal Health Services, Inc. (UHS) Fair Value 2026

UHS · Medical Care Facilities ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Universal Health Services, Inc. (UHS) trades at $171.66, versus a $328.30 median fair value across its 13 active models — 91.3% above the current price. QOC: 8.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $385.03.

Key Facts

Ticker
UHS
Price
$171.66
Quality Score
8.5/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +287.9% upside with 61% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Is Universal Health Services, Inc. (UHS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, Universal Health Services, Inc. (UHS) appears undervalued as of : the median of 13 independent fair value estimates is $328.30, 91.3% above the current price of $171.66. Estimates range from $79.72 to $665.80. UHS scores 8.5/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. UHS’s +91.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Medical Care Facilities sector median is -28.3%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Universal Health Services, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give UHS?

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($171.66)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $385.03 +124.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $193.30 +12.6%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $295.98 +72.4%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $665.80 +287.9%
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What Is UHS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 13 independent models · $79.72 to $665.80

CirclFi's 13 active models place Universal Health Services, Inc. (UHS) between $79.72 and $665.80 per share, a spread of 179% of the median. The median of that range — $328.30 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for UHS, against a current price of $171.66.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · First Chicago
$79.72median $328.30$665.80
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$79.72
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$665.80
Model agreement10 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for UHS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on UHS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Universal Health Services, Inc. (UHS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Universal Health Services, Inc.. Trading at $171.66 against an estimated intrinsic value of $328.30, 10 of 13 active models flag meaningful upside of +91.3% at the median. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $665.80 (+287.9%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $79.72 (-53.6%). This +341.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Universal Health Services, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About UHS?

13 of 13 models are currently active for UHS. Of these, 11 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for UHS is $328.30 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $385.03 on its own, implying +124.3% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does UHS Rank in Medical Care Facilities?

Among 60 Medical Care Facilities stocks, UHS ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.5 places UHS in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Medical Care Facilities Stocks →

Universal Health Services, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is UHS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns UHS a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Universal Health Services, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Universal Health Services, Inc. earns a quality score of 8.5/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +341.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every UHS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across UHS's 13 active models, average confidence is 54%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Universal Health Services, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Medical Care Facilities Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Medical Care Facilities stocks with 13-model coverage

EHCEncompass Health CorporationQOC 8.7ENSGThe Ensign Group, Inc.QOC 8.5NHCNational HealthCare CorporationQOC 8.7OPCHOption Care Health, Inc.QOC 8.4ADUSAddus HomeCare CorporationQOC 8.9NUTXNutex Health Inc.QOC 8.4DVADaVita Inc.QOC 7.5RHEPRegional Health Properties, Inc.QOC 6.2SNDASonida Senior Living, Inc.QOC 5.2

Read investment analysis: EHC · ENSG · NHC · OPCH · ADUS · NUTX · DVA · RHEP · SNDA

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to UHS?

7 companies across all industries closest to UHS’s Quality of Company score of 8.5/10.

EXPDExpeditors International of Washington, Inc.QOC 8.5BANFBancFirst CorporationQOC 8.5TRMDTORM plcQOC 8.5PFHOPacific Health Care Organization, Inc.QOC 8.5CHEFThe Chefs' Warehouse, Inc.QOC 8.5FCFSFirstCash Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: EXPD · BANF · TRMD · PFHO · CHEF · FCFS · NVDA

Where Does UHS Sit in CirclFi's Medical Care Facilities Rankings?

UHS is ranked against every other Medical Care Facilities stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Medical Care Facilities stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Universal Health Services, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Universal Health Services, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Universal Health Services, Inc. (UHS)'s intrinsic value at $328.30 — the median of 13 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $79.72 to $665.80. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $385.03 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is UHS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $171.66, 11 of 13 active models suggest UHS may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 13 fair value estimates is $328.30, 91.3% above the current price of $171.66 — a consensus view that UHS is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Universal Health Services, Inc.'s business model in Medical Care Facilities.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.5 mean for UHS?

Universal Health Services, Inc.'s QOC of 8.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on UHS?

CirclFi analyzes UHS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on UHS?

Of the 13 models currently active on UHS, First Chicago is the most bullish at $665.80 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $79.72. CirclFi's published fair value for UHS is the median of that range, $328.30, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 179% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is UHS a value trap in 2026?

Universal Health Services, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, Universal Health Services, Inc. (UHS) has a median fair value of $328.30 — 91.3% above the current price of $171.66 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/UHS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this UHS valuation
  • Financial statements: Universal Health Services, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000352915) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for UHS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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