TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS) Fair Value 2026

TPCS · Metal Fabrication ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (19/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS) trades at $5.55, versus a $2.84 median fair value across its 5 active models — 48.8% below the current price. QOC: 6.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 19/100 (SAFE). 5/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TPCS
Price
$5.55
Quality Score
6.0/10
Value Trap Risk
19/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: 5 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $2.84, 48.8% below the current price of $5.55. Estimates range from $1.98 to $3.74. TPCS scores 6.0/10 on fundamental quality and 19/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. TPCS’s -48.8% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy TechPrecision Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TPCS?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.55)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $2.84 -48.8%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $3.43 -38.2%
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What Is TPCS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $1.98 to $3.74

CirclFi's 5 active models place TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS) between $1.98 and $3.74 per share, a spread of 62% of the median. The median of that range — $2.84 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for TPCS, against a current price of $5.55.

Low · Sentiment SOTPHigh · FTNN
$1.98median $2.84$3.74
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelSentiment SOTP$1.98
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$3.74
Model agreement0 bullish · 5 bearishmoderate

A band of this width is typical. The methods agree on direction but weight growth, reinvestment and risk differently, so treat the median as a centre of gravity rather than a precise target.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on TPCS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, TechPrecision Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $2.84. Trading at its current price of $5.55, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 5 of 5 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -48.8%. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $3.74 (-32.6%), versus Sentiment SOTP at $1.98 (-64.3%). This +31.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About TPCS?

5 of 13 models are currently active for TPCS. All 5 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for TPCS is $2.84 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TPCS Rank in Metal Fabrication?

Among 19 Metal Fabrication stocks, TPCS ranks #13 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.0 indicates above-average quality.

TechPrecision Corporation's positioning within the Metal Fabrication segment means that order backlog depth plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including reshoring and supply chain localization — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is TPCS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TPCS a score of 19/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for TechPrecision Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, TechPrecision Corporation earns a quality score of 6.0/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +31.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TPCS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TPCS's 5 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy TechPrecision Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Metal Fabrication Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Metal Fabrication stocks with 13-model coverage

TRSGTungray Technologies Inc.QOC 6.4GPGIGPGI, Inc.QOC 5.9MECMayville Engineering Company, Inc.QOC 6.6LQMTLiquidmetal Technologies, Inc.QOC 5.7RYZRyerson Holding CorporationQOC 7.3APAmpco-Pittsburgh CorporationQOC 5.4OLOXOlenox Industries Inc.QOC 3.9ATIATI Inc.QOC 8.7ESABESAB CorporationQOC 7.6MLIMueller Industries, Inc.QOC 9.4CRSCarpenter Technology CorporationQOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: TRSG · GPGI · MEC · LQMT · RYZ · AP · OLOX · ATI · ESAB · MLI · CRS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TPCS?

7 companies across all industries closest to TPCS’s Quality of Company score of 6.0/10.

VYCOVycor Medical, Inc.QOC 6.0KLNGKoil Energy Solutions, Inc.QOC 6.0UMHUMH Properties, Inc.QOC 6.0MPTMedical Properties Trust, Inc.QOC 6.0IEIvanhoe Electric Inc.QOC 6.0PRQRProQR Therapeutics N.V.QOC 6.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: VYCO · KLNG · UMH · MPT · IE · PRQR · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About TechPrecision Corporation’s Valuation?

What is TechPrecision Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS)'s intrinsic value at $2.84 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.98 to $3.74. The Quality of Company score is 6.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TPCS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.55, 0 of 5 active models suggest TPCS may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $2.84, 48.8% below the current price of $5.55 — a consensus view that TPCS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits TechPrecision Corporation's business model in Metal Fabrication.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.0 mean for TPCS?

TechPrecision Corporation's QOC of 6.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TPCS?

CirclFi analyzes TPCS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on TPCS?

Of the 5 models currently active on TPCS, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $3.74 per share, and Sentiment SOTP is the most bearish at $1.98. CirclFi's published fair value for TPCS is the median of that range, $2.84, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 62% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is TPCS a value trap in 2026?

TechPrecision Corporation's Value Trap score is 19/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS) has a median fair value of $2.84 — 48.8% below the current price of $5.55 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TPCS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TPCS valuation
  • Financial statements: TechPrecision Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001328792) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for TPCS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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