GPGI, Inc. (GPGI) Fair Value 2026

GPGI · Metal Fabrication ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (49/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, GPGI, Inc. (GPGI) trades at $13.26. QOC: 5.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 49/100 (WARN). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GPGI
Price
$13.26
Quality Score
5.9/10
Value Trap Risk
49/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +117.3% upside with 44% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 49 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GPGI?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($13.26)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $28.81 +117.3%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is GPGI, Inc. (GPGI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, GPGI, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $28.81. At a current market price of $13.26, 1 of 1 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +117.3%.

What Do the Models Say About GPGI?

1 of 13 models are currently active for GPGI. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GPGI Rank in Metal Fabrication?

Among 19 Metal Fabrication stocks, GPGI ranks #14 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

As a manufacturing company, GPGI, Inc. operates in a sector where capacity utilization rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating GPGI should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is GPGI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GPGI a score of 49/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for GPGI, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, GPGI, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 5.9/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GPGI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GPGI's 1 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy GPGI, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Metal Fabrication Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Metal Fabrication stocks with 13-model coverage

TPCSTechPrecision CorporationQOC 6.0LQMTLiquidmetal Technologies, Inc.QOC 5.7TRSGTungray Technologies Inc.QOC 6.4APAmpco-Pittsburgh CorporationQOC 5.4MECMayville Engineering Company, Inc.QOC 6.6OLOXOlenox Industries Inc.QOC 3.9HIHOHighway Holdings LimitedQOC 3.0IIINInsteel Industries Inc.QOC 8.3TGTredegar CorporationQOC 7.3MLIMueller Industries, Inc.QOC 9.4CRSCarpenter Technology CorporationQOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: TPCS · LQMT · TRSG · AP · MEC · OLOX · HIHO · IIIN · TG · MLI · CRS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GPGI?

7 companies across all industries closest to GPGI’s Quality of Company score of 5.9/10.

AIC3.ai, Inc.QOC 5.9VYXNCR Voyix CorporationQOC 5.9SGSweetgreen, Inc.QOC 5.9SIShoulder Innovations, Inc.QOC 5.9STUBStubHub Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.9NTSKNetskope, Inc.QOC 5.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: AI · VYX · SG · SI · STUB · NTSK · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About GPGI, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is GPGI, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for GPGI, Inc. (GPGI). The Quality of Company score is 5.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GPGI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $13.26, 1 of 1 active models suggest GPGI may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits GPGI, Inc.'s business model in Metal Fabrication.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.9 mean for GPGI?

GPGI, Inc.'s QOC of 5.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GPGI?

CirclFi analyzes GPGI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is GPGI a value trap in 2026?

GPGI, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 49/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns GPGI, Inc. (GPGI) a Quality of Company score of 5.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GPGI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GPGI valuation
  • Financial statements: GPGI, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001823144) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GPGI as of ; valuations recomputed .