Viatris Inc. (VTRS) Fair Value 2026

VTRS · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (29/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-31, Viatris Inc. (VTRS) trades at $16.51, versus a $24.66 median fair value across its 6 active models — 49.4% above the current price. QOC: 6.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 29/100 (LOW). 6/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $15.13.

Key Facts

Ticker
VTRS
Price
$16.51
Quality Score
6.0/10
Value Trap Risk
29/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: RCMH-DCF suggests +115.5% upside with 55% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (6/13) may reduce confidence

Is Viatris Inc. (VTRS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Viatris Inc. (VTRS) appears undervalued as of : the median of 6 independent fair value estimates is $24.66, 49.4% above the current price of $16.51. Estimates range from $15.13 to $54.82. VTRS scores 6.0/10 on fundamental quality and 29/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,804 rated companies as of 2026-08-31. VTRS’s +49.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic sector median is -7.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Viatris Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give VTRS?

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($16.51)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $15.13 -8.4%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $26.44 +60.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $35.58 +115.5%
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What Is VTRS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 6 independent models · $15.13 to $54.82

CirclFi's 6 active models place Viatris Inc. (VTRS) between $15.13 and $54.82 per share, a spread of 161% of the median. The median of that range — $24.66 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for VTRS, against a current price of $16.51.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$15.13median $24.66$54.82
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$15.13
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$54.82
Model agreement5 bullish · 1 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for VTRS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on VTRS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Viatris Inc. (VTRS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Viatris Inc. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $16.51. Based on our 13-model framework, Viatris Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $24.66 — representing +49.4% implied upside — with 5 out of 6 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $54.82 (+232.0%), versus Bayesian DCF at $15.13 (-8.4%). This +240.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About VTRS?

6 of 13 models are currently active for VTRS. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for VTRS is $24.66 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $15.13 on its own, implying -8.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does VTRS Rank in Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic?

Among 112 Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, VTRS ranks #57 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.0 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic Stocks →

As a biopharma enterprise, Viatris Inc. operates in a sector where R&D productivity ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating VTRS should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is VTRS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns VTRS a score of 29/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for Viatris Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Viatris Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.0/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +240.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every VTRS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across VTRS's 6 active models, average confidence is 38%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Viatris Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks with 13-model coverage

OGIOrganigram Global Inc.QOC 6.1CABRCaring Brands, Inc.QOC 6.0AAWHAscend Wellness Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.1AQSTAquestive Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.0INISRadnostix, Inc.QOC 6.1TLRYTilray Brands, Inc.QOC 5.9GELSGelteq LimitedQOC 4.7UTHRUnited Therapeutics CorporationQOC 9.6IRWDIronwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc.QOC 7.1AMPHAmphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc.QOC 9.4

Read investment analysis: OGI · CABR · AAWH · AQST · INIS · TLRY · GELS · UTHR · IRWD · AMPH

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to VTRS?

7 companies across all industries closest to VTRS’s Quality of Company score of 6.0/10.

AIDX20/20 Biolabs, Inc.QOC 6.0CURVTorrid Holdings Inc.QOC 6.0MNTRMentor Capital, Inc.QOC 6.0TRCTejon Ranch Co.QOC 6.0TRINTrinity Capital Inc.QOC 6.0VALNValneva SEQOC 6.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: AIDX · CURV · MNTR · TRC · TRIN · VALN · NVDA

Where Does VTRS Sit in CirclFi's Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic Rankings?

VTRS is ranked against every other Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Viatris Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Viatris Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Viatris Inc. (VTRS)'s intrinsic value at $24.66 — the median of 6 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-31, ranging from $15.13 to $54.82. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $15.13 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is VTRS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $16.51, 5 of 6 active models suggest VTRS may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 6 fair value estimates is $24.66, 49.4% above the current price of $16.51 — a consensus view that VTRS is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Viatris Inc.'s business model in Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.0 mean for VTRS?

Viatris Inc.'s QOC of 6.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on VTRS?

CirclFi analyzes VTRS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on VTRS?

Of the 6 models currently active on VTRS, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $54.82 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $15.13. CirclFi's published fair value for VTRS is the median of that range, $24.66, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 161% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is VTRS a value trap in 2026?

Viatris Inc.'s Value Trap score is 29/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Viatris Inc. (VTRS) has a median fair value of $24.66 — 49.4% above the current price of $16.51 — as of 2026-08-31.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/VTRS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this VTRS valuation
  • Financial statements: Viatris Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001792044) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for VTRS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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