SSR Mining Inc. (SSRM) Fair Value 2026

SSRM · Mineral Royalty Traders ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (20/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, SSR Mining Inc. (SSRM) trades at $27.89, approximately 101% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $13.84. QOC: 8.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 20/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SSRM
Price
$27.89
Quality Score
8.1/10
Value Trap Risk
20/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.1/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($27.89)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$13.84 -50.4%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$8.30 -70.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$17.70 -36.5%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$22.16 -20.5%

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What Is SSR Mining Inc. (SSRM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, SSR Mining Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $18.71, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $27.89. With 11 out of 13 models flagging downside (-32.9% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, ML-RIV sees the most upside at +10.1% (fair value: $30.71), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -80.5% ($5.43). The spread between these extremes — +90.6% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About SSRM?

13 of 13 models are currently active for SSRM. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SSRM's intrinsic value at $13.84, implying -50.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SSRM Rank in Mineral Royalty Traders?

Among 6 Mineral Royalty Traders stocks, SSRM ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.1 places SSRM in the top tier.

SSR Mining Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is SSRM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SSRM a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for SSR Mining Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, SSR Mining Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.1/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +90.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SSRM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SSRM's 13 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy SSR Mining Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

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Frequently Asked Questions About SSR Mining Inc.

What is SSR Mining Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, SSR Mining Inc. (SSRM) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $13.84. The Quality of Company score is 8.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SSRM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $27.89, 2 of 13 active models suggest SSRM may be undervalued, while 11 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits SSR Mining Inc.'s business model in Mineral Royalty Traders.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.1 mean for SSRM?

SSR Mining Inc.'s QOC of 8.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SSRM?

CirclFi analyzes SSRM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SSRM a value trap in 2026?

SSR Mining Inc.'s Value Trap score is 20/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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