New Found Gold Corp. (NFGC) Fair Value 2026

NFGC · Gold ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (25/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, New Found Gold Corp. (NFGC) trades at $1.91. QOC: 5.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 25/100 (LOW). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
NFGC
Price
$1.91
Quality Score
5.9/10
Value Trap Risk
25/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: 1 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give NFGC?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.91)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
 $0.35 -81.8%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is New Found Gold Corp. (NFGC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, New Found Gold Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $0.35. Trading at its current price of $1.91, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 1 of 1 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -81.8%.

What Do the Models Say About NFGC?

1 of 13 models are currently active for NFGC. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NFGC Rank in Gold?

Among 58 Gold stocks, NFGC ranks #20 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Gold Stocks →

New Found Gold Corp. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is NFGC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NFGC a score of 25/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for New Found Gold Corp.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, New Found Gold Corp. earns a quality score of 5.9/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NFGC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NFGC's 1 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy New Found Gold Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Gold Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Gold stocks with 13-model coverage

FTCOFortitude Gold CorporationQOC 5.9AUGOAura Minerals Inc.QOC 5.8MAKOMako Mining Corp.QOC 6.0GOROGoldgroup Mining Inc.QOC 5.7OGCOceanaGold CorporationQOC 6.1FURYFury Gold Mines LimitedQOC 5.6PGOLPatriot Gold Corp.QOC 4.7AEMAgnico Eagle Mines LimitedQOC 2.9DRDDRDGOLD LimitedQOC 9.0FSMFortuna Mining Corp.QOC 9.3NEMNewmont CorporationQOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: FTCO · AUGO · MAKO · GORO · OGC · FURY · PGOL · AEM · DRD · FSM · NEM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to NFGC?

7 companies across all industries closest to NFGC’s Quality of Company score of 5.9/10.

GTThe Goodyear Tire & Rubber CompanyQOC 5.9CDTGCDT Environmental Technology Investment Holdings LimitedQOC 5.9CCECCapital Clean Energy Carriers Corp.QOC 5.9FNGRFingerMotion, Inc.QOC 5.9NUVRNuvera Communications, Inc.QOC 5.9MACThe Macerich CompanyQOC 5.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: GT · CDTG · CCEC · FNGR · NUVR · MAC · NVDA

Where Does NFGC Sit in CirclFi's Gold Rankings?

NFGC is ranked against every other Gold stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Gold stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About New Found Gold Corp.’s Valuation?

What is New Found Gold Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for New Found Gold Corp. (NFGC). The Quality of Company score is 5.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NFGC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.91, 0 of 1 active models suggest NFGC may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits New Found Gold Corp.'s business model in Gold.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.9 mean for NFGC?

New Found Gold Corp.'s QOC of 5.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NFGC?

CirclFi analyzes NFGC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is NFGC a value trap in 2026?

New Found Gold Corp.'s Value Trap score is 25/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns New Found Gold Corp. (NFGC) a Quality of Company score of 5.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/NFGC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this NFGC valuation
  • Financial statements: New Found Gold Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001840616) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for NFGC as of ; valuations recomputed .