Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) Fair Value 2026

PAAS · Gold and Silver Ores ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

— (—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) trades at $43.56, approximately 296% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $11.00. QOC: 2.3/10. 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PAAS
Price
$43.56
Quality Score
2.3/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: 13 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.3/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 13 independent fair value estimates is $26.63, 38.9% below the current price of $43.56. Estimates range from $3.12 to $46.05. PAAS scores 2.3/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Pan American Silver Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($43.56)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
 $11.00 -74.7%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $22.84 -47.6%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $22.46 -48.4%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
 $40.30 -7.5%

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What Is Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Pan American Silver Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $27.09, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $43.56. With 10 out of 13 models flagging downside (-37.8% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: RCMH-DCF targets $46.05 (+5.7%), versus Regime Cross at $3.12 (-92.8%). This +98.6% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About PAAS?

13 of 13 models are currently active for PAAS. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates PAAS's intrinsic value at $11.00, implying -74.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PAAS Rank in Gold and Silver Ores?

Among 62 Gold and Silver Ores stocks, PAAS ranks #43 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.3 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Gold and Silver Ores Stocks →

Pan American Silver Corp. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is PAAS a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for PAAS. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Pan American Silver Corp.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Pan American Silver Corp.'s fundamental quality profile registers 2.3/10. This concerning score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +98.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PAAS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PAAS's 13 active models, average confidence is 23%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Pan American Silver Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Gold and Silver Ores Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Gold and Silver Ores stocks with 13-model coverage

FSMFortuna Mining Corp.QOC 9.4NEMNewmont CorporationQOC 9.3DRDDRDGOLD LimitedQOC 9.2HMYHarmony Gold Mining Company LimQOC 9.1IDRIdaho Strategic Resources, Inc.QOC 8.7KGCKinross Gold CorporationQOC 8.2CDECoeur Mining, Inc.QOC 8.1VOXRVox Royalty Corp.QOC 7.5

Read investment analysis: FSM · NEM · DRD · HMY · IDR

See all Gold and Silver Ores stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Pan American Silver Corp.

What is Pan American Silver Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $11.00. The Quality of Company score is 2.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PAAS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $43.56, 2 of 13 active models suggest PAAS may be undervalued, while 11 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 13 fair value estimates is $26.63, 38.9% below the current price of $43.56 — a consensus view that PAAS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Pan American Silver Corp.'s business model in Gold and Silver Ores.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.3 mean for PAAS?

Pan American Silver Corp.'s QOC of 2.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PAAS?

CirclFi analyzes PAAS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is PAAS a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for PAAS at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) has a median fair value of $26.63 — 38.9% below the current price of $43.56 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PAAS/ · Methodology

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