Austin Gold Corp. (AUST) Fair Value 2026

AUST · Gold and Silver Ores ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Austin Gold Corp. (AUST) trades at $1.02, approximately 266% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.28. QOC: 2.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AUST
Price
$1.02
Quality Score
2.6/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +32.0% upside with 10% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.6/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.02)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.28 -72.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$0.55 -46.3%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$1.35 +32.0%

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What Is Austin Gold Corp. (AUST) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Austin Gold Corp. at its current price of $1.02. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $0.74 (-27.8% average return), with 4 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $1.35 (+32.0%), versus Bayesian DCF at $0.28 (-72.7%). This +104.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About AUST?

7 of 13 models are currently active for AUST. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AUST's intrinsic value at $0.28, implying -72.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AUST Rank in Gold and Silver Ores?

Among 64 Gold and Silver Ores stocks, AUST ranks #39 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.6 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Gold and Silver Ores Stocks →

Austin Gold Corp. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is AUST a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AUST a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Austin Gold Corp.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Austin Gold Corp. is rated at 2.6/10. This weak-tier score exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +104.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AUST valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AUST's 7 active models, average confidence is 13%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Austin Gold Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Gold and Silver Ores Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Gold and Silver Ores stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: FSM · NEM · DRD · AU · HMY

See all Gold and Silver Ores stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Austin Gold Corp.

What is Austin Gold Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Austin Gold Corp. (AUST) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.28. The Quality of Company score is 2.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AUST overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.02, 3 of 7 active models suggest AUST may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Austin Gold Corp.'s business model in Gold and Silver Ores.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.6 mean for AUST?

Austin Gold Corp.'s QOC of 2.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AUST?

CirclFi analyzes AUST with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is AUST a value trap in 2026?

Austin Gold Corp.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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