Rise Gold Corp. (RYES) Fair Value 2026

RYES · Gold ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (51/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Rise Gold Corp. (RYES) trades at $0.15, versus a $0.04 median fair value across its 2 active models — 72.3% below the current price. QOC: 4.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 51/100 (WARN). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
RYES
Price
$0.15
Quality Score
4.7/10
Value Trap Risk
51/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: 2 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Value Trap score of 51 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Rise Gold Corp. (RYES) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Rise Gold Corp. (RYES) appears overvalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $0.04, 72.3% below the current price of $0.15. Estimates range from $0.00 to $0.08. RYES scores 4.7/10 on fundamental quality and 51/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. RYES’s -72.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Gold sector median is -28.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Rise Gold Corp. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give RYES?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.15)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $0.08 -45.8%
Intrinsic · Low Conviction
 $0.00 -98.7%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Rise Gold Corp. (RYES) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Rise Gold Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $0.04, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $0.15. With 2 out of 2 models flagging downside (-72.3% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: Dynamic NAV targets $0.08 (-45.8%), versus ML-RIV at $0.00 (-98.7%). This +52.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About RYES?

2 of 13 models are currently active for RYES. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for RYES is $0.04 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RYES Rank in Gold?

Among 57 Gold stocks, RYES ranks #34 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.7 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Gold Stocks →

Rise Gold Corp. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is RYES a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RYES a score of 51/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Rise Gold Corp.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Rise Gold Corp. is rated at 4.7/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +52.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RYES valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RYES's 2 active models, average confidence is 28%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Rise Gold Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Gold Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Gold stocks with 13-model coverage

PGOLPatriot Gold Corp.QOC 4.7NGLDNevada Canyon Gold Corp.QOC 4.6AUSTAustin Gold Corp.QOC 4.9RBTKZhen Ding Resources Inc.QOC 4.6USAUU.S. Gold Corp.QOC 5.0BSAIBluSky AI, Inc.QOC 4.6AEMAgnico Eagle Mines LimitedQOC 2.9DRDDRDGOLD LimitedQOC 9.0NFGCNew Found Gold Corp.QOC 5.9FSMFortuna Mining Corp.QOC 9.3NEMNewmont CorporationQOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: PGOL · NGLD · AUST · RBTK · USAU · BSAI · AEM · DRD · NFGC · FSM · NEM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to RYES?

7 companies across all industries closest to RYES’s Quality of Company score of 4.7/10.

CMMBChemomab Therapeutics Ltd.QOC 4.7BTDRBitdeer Technologies GroupQOC 4.7OBAIOur Bond, Inc.QOC 4.7NXTCNextCure, Inc.QOC 4.7BEATHeartBeam, Inc.QOC 4.7ALDSAPPlife Digital Solutions Inc.QOC 4.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CMMB · BTDR · OBAI · NXTC · BEAT · ALDS · NVDA

Where Does RYES Sit in CirclFi's Gold Rankings?

RYES is ranked against every other Gold stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Gold stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Rise Gold Corp.’s Valuation?

What is Rise Gold Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Rise Gold Corp. (RYES)'s intrinsic value at $0.04 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.00 to $0.08. The Quality of Company score is 4.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RYES overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.15, 0 of 2 active models suggest RYES may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $0.04, 72.3% below the current price of $0.15 — a consensus view that RYES is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Rise Gold Corp.'s business model in Gold.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.7 mean for RYES?

Rise Gold Corp.'s QOC of 4.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RYES?

CirclFi analyzes RYES with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is RYES a value trap in 2026?

Rise Gold Corp.'s Value Trap score is 51/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Rise Gold Corp. (RYES) has a median fair value of $0.04 — 72.3% below the current price of $0.15 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/RYES/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this RYES valuation
  • Financial statements: Rise Gold Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001424864) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for RYES as of ; valuations recomputed .