QVC Group Inc. (QVCG) Fair Value 2026

QVCG · Specialty Retail ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (45/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, QVC Group Inc. (QVCG) trades at $13.31, versus a $27.63 median fair value across its 2 active models — 107.6% above the current price. QOC: 5.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 45/100 (WARN). 2/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $14.42.

Key Facts

Ticker
QVCG
Price
$13.31
Quality Score
5.2/10
Value Trap Risk
45/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +206.8% upside with 35% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 45 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is QVC Group Inc. (QVCG) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, QVC Group Inc. (QVCG) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $27.63, 107.6% above the current price of $13.31. Estimates range from $14.42 to $40.83. QVCG scores 5.2/10 on fundamental quality and 45/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. QVCG’s +107.6% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Specialty Retail sector median is -5.3%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy QVC Group Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give QVCG?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($13.31)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $14.42 +8.4%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $40.83 +206.8%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is QVC Group Inc. (QVCG) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, QVC Group Inc. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $13.31. Based on our 13-model framework, QVC Group Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $27.63 — representing +107.6% implied upside — with 2 out of 2 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $40.83 (+206.8%), versus Bayesian DCF at $14.42 (+8.4%). This +198.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About QVCG?

2 of 13 models are currently active for QVCG. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for QVCG is $27.63 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $14.42 on its own, implying +8.4% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does QVCG Rank in Specialty Retail?

Among 48 Specialty Retail stocks, QVCG ranks #40 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.2 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Within the Specialty Retail space, QVC Group Inc. competes in an environment where e-commerce penetration rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is QVCG a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns QVCG a score of 45/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for QVC Group Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, QVC Group Inc. is rated at 5.2/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +198.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every QVCG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across QVCG's 2 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy QVC Group Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Retail Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Specialty Retail stocks with 13-model coverage

QSJCTancheng Group Co., Ltd.QOC 5.3NAASNaaS Technology Inc.QOC 5.2LESLLeslie's, Inc.QOC 5.4BOBSBob's Discount Furniture, Inc.QOC 5.1BARKBARK, Inc.QOC 5.5GHSTGHST World Inc.QOC 4.7FIVEFive Below, Inc.QOC 8.6MUSAMurphy USA Inc.QOC 7.8SPWHSportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.3WSMWilliams-Sonoma, Inc.QOC 9.3ARHSArhaus, Inc.QOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: QSJC · NAAS · LESL · BOBS · BARK · GHST · FIVE · MUSA · SPWH · WSM · ARHS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to QVCG?

7 companies across all industries closest to QVCG’s Quality of Company score of 5.2/10.

SERVServe Robotics Inc.QOC 5.2MEHAFunctional Brands Inc.QOC 5.2BOFBranchOut Food Inc.QOC 5.2TUSKMammoth Energy Services, Inc.QOC 5.2CISOCISO Global Inc.QOC 5.2FUNDSprott Focus Trust, Inc.QOC 5.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SERV · MEHA · BOF · TUSK · CISO · FUND · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About QVC Group Inc.’s Valuation?

What is QVC Group Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts QVC Group Inc. (QVCG)'s intrinsic value at $27.63 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $14.42 to $40.83. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $14.42 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 5.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is QVCG overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $13.31, 2 of 2 active models suggest QVCG may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $27.63, 107.6% above the current price of $13.31 — a consensus view that QVCG is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits QVC Group Inc.'s business model in Specialty Retail.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.2 mean for QVCG?

QVC Group Inc.'s QOC of 5.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on QVCG?

CirclFi analyzes QVCG with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is QVCG a value trap in 2026?

QVC Group Inc.'s Value Trap score is 45/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, QVC Group Inc. (QVCG) has a median fair value of $27.63 — 107.6% above the current price of $13.31 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/QVCG/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this QVCG valuation
  • Financial statements: QVC Group Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001254699) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for QVCG as of ; valuations recomputed .