Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID) Fair Value 2026

LCID · Auto Manufacturers ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (26/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID) trades at $5.01. QOC: 5.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 26/100 (LOW). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
LCID
Price
$5.01
Quality Score
5.3/10
Value Trap Risk
26/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +108.1% upside with 32% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (1/13) may reduce confidence

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give LCID?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.01)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $10.43 +108.1%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Lucid Group, Inc. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $5.01. Based on our 13-model framework, Lucid Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $10.43 — representing +108.1% implied upside — with 1 out of 1 active models confirming this thesis.

What Do the Models Say About LCID?

1 of 13 models are currently active for LCID. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LCID Rank in Auto Manufacturers?

Among 30 Auto Manufacturers stocks, LCID ranks #18 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.3 reflects mixed fundamentals.

The Auto Manufacturers sector introduces analytical considerations specific to transportation company businesses. For Lucid Group, Inc., metrics like units delivered provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is LCID a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LCID a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Lucid Group, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Lucid Group, Inc. scores 5.3 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LCID valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LCID's 1 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Lucid Group, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Auto Manufacturers Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Auto Manufacturers stocks with 13-model coverage

RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc.QOC 5.4VFSVinFast Auto Ltd.QOC 5.0SSMSono Group N.V.QOC 5.4PSNYPolestar Automotive Holding UK PLCQOC 4.8LVWRLiveWire Group, Inc.QOC 5.5FLYEFly-E Group, Inc.QOC 4.8BINIBollinger Innovations, Inc.QOC 3.7TMToyota Motor CorporationQOC 8.1NIUNiu TechnologiesQOC 6.8RACEFerrari N.V.QOC 9.7TSLATesla, Inc.QOC 8.4

Read investment analysis: RIVN · VFS · SSM · PSNY · LVWR · FLYE · BINI · TM · NIU · RACE · TSLA

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to LCID?

7 companies across all industries closest to LCID’s Quality of Company score of 5.3/10.

SGMLSigma Lithium CorporationQOC 5.3NBNioCorp Developments Ltd.QOC 5.3UMACUnusual Machines, Inc.QOC 5.3FACFactorial Energy Inc.QOC 5.3OLBThe OLB Group, Inc.QOC 5.3MCRPMicropolis AI RoboticsQOC 5.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SGML · NB · UMAC · FAC · OLB · MCRP · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Lucid Group, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Lucid Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID). The Quality of Company score is 5.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LCID overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.01, 1 of 1 active models suggest LCID may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Lucid Group, Inc.'s business model in Auto Manufacturers.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.3 mean for LCID?

Lucid Group, Inc.'s QOC of 5.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LCID?

CirclFi analyzes LCID with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is LCID a value trap in 2026?

Lucid Group, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 26/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID) a Quality of Company score of 5.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/LCID/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this LCID valuation
  • Financial statements: Lucid Group, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001811210) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for LCID as of ; valuations recomputed .