ProKidney Corp. (PROK) Fair Value 2026

PROK · Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, ProKidney Corp. (PROK) trades at $1.61, approximately 144% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.66. QOC: 4.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PROK
Price
$1.61
Quality Score
4.6/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: 9 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.6/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.61)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.66 -59.0%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$0.57 -64.3%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$0.36 -77.6%
Dynamic NAV
Medium Conviction
$0.44 -72.6%

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What Is ProKidney Corp. (PROK) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, ProKidney Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $0.60. Trading at its current price of $1.61, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 8 of 9 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -62.8%. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +12.2% (fair value: $1.81), while Sentiment SOTP is the most conservative at -79.5% ($0.33). The spread between these extremes — +91.6% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About PROK?

9 of 13 models are currently active for PROK. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates PROK's intrinsic value at $0.66, implying -59.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PROK Rank in Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)?

Among 139 Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) stocks, PROK ranks #97 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.6 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) Stocks →

ProKidney Corp. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is PROK a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PROK a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for ProKidney Corp.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, ProKidney Corp. scores 4.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +91.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PROK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PROK's 9 active models, average confidence is 23%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy ProKidney Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: EXEL · HALO · NBIX · GILD · PLX

See all Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About ProKidney Corp.

What is ProKidney Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, ProKidney Corp. (PROK) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.66. The Quality of Company score is 4.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PROK overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.61, 1 of 9 active models suggest PROK may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits ProKidney Corp.'s business model in Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances).

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.6 mean for PROK?

ProKidney Corp.'s QOC of 4.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PROK?

CirclFi analyzes PROK with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is PROK a value trap in 2026?

ProKidney Corp.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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