SeaStar Medical Holding Corpora (ICU) Fair Value 2026

ICU · Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (27/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, SeaStar Medical Holding Corpora (ICU) trades at $4.62, approximately 120% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $2.10. QOC: 5.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 27/100 (LOW). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ICU
Price
$4.62
Quality Score
5.7/10
Value Trap Risk
27/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: 11 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is SeaStar Medical Holding Corpora (ICU) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, SeaStar Medical Holding Corpora (ICU) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $2.87, 37.8% below the current price of $4.62. Estimates range from $0.26 to $10.60. ICU scores 5.7/10 on fundamental quality and 27/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy SeaStar Medical Holding Corpora Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($4.62)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
 $2.10 -54.5%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
 $2.05 -55.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $3.98 -13.7%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
 $2.87 -37.8%

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What Is SeaStar Medical Holding Corpora (ICU) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on SeaStar Medical Holding Corpora at its current price of $4.62. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $3.83 (-17.1% average return), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, EROIC, places fair value at $10.60 (+129.4%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $0.26 (-94.4%). This +223.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about SeaStar Medical Holding Corpora's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About ICU?

11 of 13 models are currently active for ICU. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ICU's intrinsic value at $2.10, implying -54.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ICU Rank in Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus?

Among 109 Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus stocks, ICU ranks #75 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.7 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus Stocks →

SeaStar Medical Holding Corpora operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is ICU a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ICU a score of 27/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for SeaStar Medical Holding Corpora. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, SeaStar Medical Holding Corpora's fundamental quality profile registers 5.7/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +223.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ICU valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ICU's 11 active models, average confidence is 25%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy SeaStar Medical Holding Corpora Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus stocks with 13-model coverage

DXCMDexCom, Inc.QOC 10.0IRMDiRadimed CorporationQOC 10.0PODDInsulet CorporationQOC 10.0RMDResMed Inc.QOC 10.0WSTWest Pharmaceutical Services, IQOC 9.9HAEHaemonetics CorporationQOC 9.8LMATLeMaitre Vascular, Inc.QOC 9.8GMEDGlobus Medical, Inc.QOC 9.2

Read investment analysis: DXCM · IRMD · PODD · RMD · WST

See all Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About SeaStar Medical Holding Corpora

What is SeaStar Medical Holding Corpora's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, SeaStar Medical Holding Corpora (ICU) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $2.10. The Quality of Company score is 5.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ICU overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $4.62, 3 of 11 active models suggest ICU may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $2.87, 37.8% below the current price of $4.62 — a consensus view that ICU is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits SeaStar Medical Holding Corpora's business model in Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.7 mean for ICU?

SeaStar Medical Holding Corpora's QOC of 5.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ICU?

CirclFi analyzes ICU with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ICU a value trap in 2026?

SeaStar Medical Holding Corpora's Value Trap score is 27/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, SeaStar Medical Holding Corpora (ICU) has a median fair value of $2.87 — 37.8% below the current price of $4.62 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ICU/ · Methodology

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