Sono Group N.V. (SSM) Fair Value 2026

SSM · Auto Manufacturers ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 4 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (39/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Sono Group N.V. (SSM) trades at $2.72, versus a $9.38 median fair value across its 4 active models — 245.0% above the current price. QOC: 5.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 39/100 (LOW). 4/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $8.48.

Key Facts

Ticker
SSM
Price
$2.72
Quality Score
5.4/10
Value Trap Risk
39/100
Models Active
4/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +278.3% upside with 2% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (4/13) may reduce confidence

Is Sono Group N.V. (SSM) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 4-model valuation engine, Sono Group N.V. (SSM) appears undervalued as of : the median of 4 independent fair value estimates is $9.38, 245.0% above the current price of $2.72. Estimates range from $0.98 to $10.38. SSM scores 5.4/10 on fundamental quality and 39/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. SSM’s +245.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Auto Manufacturers sector median is +29.6%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Sono Group N.V. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SSM?

4 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.72)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Low Conviction
 $8.48 +211.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $10.29 +278.3%
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What Is SSM's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 4 independent models · $0.98 to $10.38

CirclFi's 4 active models place Sono Group N.V. (SSM) between $0.98 and $10.38 per share, a spread of 100% of the median. The median of that range — $9.38 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SSM, against a current price of $2.72.

Low · PWERMHigh · RCMH-DCF
$0.98median $9.38$10.38
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelPWERM$0.98
Most bullish modelRCMH-DCF$10.38
Model agreement3 bullish · 1 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for SSM. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SSM, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Sono Group N.V. (SSM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Sono Group N.V.. Trading at $2.72 against an estimated intrinsic value of $9.38, 3 of 4 active models flag meaningful upside of +245.0% at the median. The most optimistic model, RCMH-DCF, places fair value at $10.38 (+281.5%), while PWERM — the most conservative — estimates $0.98 (-64.1%). This +345.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Sono Group N.V.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About SSM?

4 of 13 models are currently active for SSM. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for SSM is $9.38 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $8.48 on its own, implying +211.6% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SSM Rank in Auto Manufacturers?

Among 29 Auto Manufacturers stocks, SSM ranks #15 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.4 reflects mixed fundamentals.

As a automotive sector, Sono Group N.V. operates in a sector where EBIT per unit is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating SSM should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is SSM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SSM a score of 39/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

4 of 13 models are active for Sono Group N.V.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Sono Group N.V. is rated at 5.4/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +345.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SSM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SSM's 4 active models, average confidence is 15%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Sono Group N.V. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Auto Manufacturers Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Auto Manufacturers stocks with 13-model coverage

LVWRLiveWire Group, Inc.QOC 5.5RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc.QOC 5.4WKHSWorkhorse Group, Inc.QOC 5.6LCIDLucid Group, Inc.QOC 5.3CENNCenntro Inc.QOC 5.7VFSVinFast Auto Ltd.QOC 5.0AIEVThunder Power Holdings, Inc.QOC 4.3DCXDigital Currency X Technology Inc.QOC 2.2FFord Motor CompanyQOC 7.2RACEFerrari N.V.QOC 9.7TSLATesla, Inc.QOC 8.4

Read investment analysis: LVWR · RIVN · WKHS · LCID · CENN · VFS · AIEV · DCX · F · RACE · TSLA

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SSM?

7 companies across all industries closest to SSM’s Quality of Company score of 5.4/10.

ZSPCzSpace, Inc.QOC 5.4QXLQuantum X Labs Inc.QOC 5.4DBVTDBV Technologies S.A.QOC 5.4VRCAVerrica Pharmaceuticals Inc.QOC 5.4VNTGVantage CorpQOC 5.4ONEIOneMeta Inc.QOC 5.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ZSPC · QXL · DBVT · VRCA · VNTG · ONEI · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Sono Group N.V.’s Valuation?

What is Sono Group N.V.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Sono Group N.V. (SSM)'s intrinsic value at $9.38 — the median of 4 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.98 to $10.38. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $8.48 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 5.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SSM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.72, 3 of 4 active models suggest SSM may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 4 fair value estimates is $9.38, 245.0% above the current price of $2.72 — a consensus view that SSM is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Sono Group N.V.'s business model in Auto Manufacturers.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.4 mean for SSM?

Sono Group N.V.'s QOC of 5.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SSM?

CirclFi analyzes SSM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 4 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SSM?

Of the 4 models currently active on SSM, RCMH-DCF is the most bullish at $10.38 per share, and PWERM is the most bearish at $0.98. CirclFi's published fair value for SSM is the median of that range, $9.38, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 100% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SSM a value trap in 2026?

Sono Group N.V.'s Value Trap score is 39/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 4-model valuation engine, Sono Group N.V. (SSM) has a median fair value of $9.38 — 245.0% above the current price of $2.72 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SSM/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SSM valuation
  • Financial statements: Sono Group N.V. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001840416) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SSM as of ; valuations recomputed .

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