What Is MarineMax, Inc. (FL) (HZO) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on MarineMax, Inc. (FL) at its current price of $34.25. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $24.90 (-27.3% average return), with 9 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +30.3% (fair value: $44.63), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -92.0% ($2.75). The spread between these extremes — +122.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About HZO?
13 of 13 models are currently active for HZO. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates HZO's intrinsic value at $18.41, implying -46.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does HZO Rank in Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores?
Among 4 Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores stocks, HZO ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.0 indicates above-average quality.
As a retail business, MarineMax, Inc. (FL) operates in a sector where same-store sales growth (comps) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating HZO should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is HZO a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HZO a score of 35/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for MarineMax, Inc. (FL). Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, MarineMax, Inc. (FL) is rated at 7.0/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +122.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every HZO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across HZO's 13 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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