Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) Fair Value 2026

YOU · Software - Application ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (7/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) trades at $44.13, versus a $28.23 median fair value across its 9 active models — 36.0% below the current price. QOC: 8.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 7/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $43.84.

Key Facts

Ticker
YOU
Price
$44.13
Quality Score
8.7/10
Value Trap Risk
7/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.7/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $28.23, 36.0% below the current price of $44.13. Estimates range from $8.17 to $77.02. YOU scores 8.7/10 on fundamental quality and 7/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. YOU’s -36.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Software - Application sector median is -23.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Clear Secure, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give YOU?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($44.13)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $43.84 -0.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $31.02 -29.7%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $39.54 -10.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $20.09 -54.5%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 5 additional models including EROIC Spread, Regime Cross-Sectional, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 9 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is YOU's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $8.17 to $77.02

CirclFi's 9 active models place Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) between $8.17 and $77.02 per share, a spread of 244% of the median. The median of that range — $28.23 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for YOU, against a current price of $44.13.

Low · EROICHigh · Regime Cross
$8.17median $28.23$77.02
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$8.17
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$77.02
Model agreement1 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for YOU. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on YOU, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Clear Secure, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $28.23, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $44.13. With 7 out of 9 models flagging downside (-36.0% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +74.5% (fair value: $77.02), while EROIC is the most conservative at -81.5% ($8.17). The spread between these extremes — +156.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About YOU?

9 of 13 models are currently active for YOU. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for YOU is $28.23 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $43.84 on its own, implying -0.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does YOU Rank in Software - Application?

Among 256 Software - Application stocks, YOU ranks #42 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.7 places YOU in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Software - Application Stocks →

Within the Software - Application space, Clear Secure, Inc. competes in an environment where annual recurring revenue (ARR) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is YOU a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns YOU a score of 7/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Clear Secure, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Clear Secure, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.7/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +156.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every YOU valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across YOU's 9 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Clear Secure, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Software - Application Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Software - Application stocks with 13-model coverage

HUBSHubSpot, Inc.QOC 8.7TYLTyler Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.7DDOGDatadog, Inc.QOC 8.7RDVTRed Violet, Inc.QOC 8.6QTWOQ2 Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.8GTMZoomInfo Technologies Inc.QOC 8.6RSKDRiskified Ltd.QOC 7.1USDWUSDWQOC 5.7CUENCuentas Inc.QOC 3.4ADSKAutodesk, Inc.QOC 9.8PTCPTC Inc.QOC 9.8

Read investment analysis: HUBS · TYL · DDOG · RDVT · QTWO · GTM · RSKD · USDW · CUEN · ADSK · PTC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to YOU?

7 companies across all industries closest to YOU’s Quality of Company score of 8.7/10.

EWEdwards Lifesciences CorporationQOC 8.7PAHCPhibro Animal Health CorporationQOC 8.7KAIKadant Inc.QOC 8.7KRTKarat Packaging Inc.QOC 8.7ACMRACM Research, Inc.QOC 8.7IRDMIridium Communications Inc.QOC 8.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: EW · PAHC · KAI · KRT · ACMR · IRDM · NVDA

Where Does YOU Sit in CirclFi's Software - Application Rankings?

YOU is ranked against every other Software - Application stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Software - Application stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Clear Secure, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Clear Secure, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU)'s intrinsic value at $28.23 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $8.17 to $77.02. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $43.84 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is YOU overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $44.13, 1 of 9 active models suggest YOU may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $28.23, 36.0% below the current price of $44.13 — a consensus view that YOU is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Clear Secure, Inc.'s business model in Software - Application.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.7 mean for YOU?

Clear Secure, Inc.'s QOC of 8.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on YOU?

CirclFi analyzes YOU with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on YOU?

Of the 9 models currently active on YOU, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $77.02 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $8.17. CirclFi's published fair value for YOU is the median of that range, $28.23, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 244% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is YOU a value trap in 2026?

Clear Secure, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 7/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) has a median fair value of $28.23 — 36.0% below the current price of $44.13 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/YOU/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this YOU valuation
  • Financial statements: Clear Secure, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001856314) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for YOU as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 9 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on YOU.

Unlock All 9 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

5 models hidden for YOU Unlock All 9 — $39/mo