What Is Skyward Specialty Insurance Gro (SKWD) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Skyward Specialty Insurance Gro's intrinsic value is estimated at $81.30, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $59.76. With an average implied return of +36.0% across a split 5–6 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +273.1% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at +218.3% (fair value: $190.22), while EPV is the most conservative at -54.8% ($27.01). The spread between these extremes — +273.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About SKWD?
12 of 13 models are currently active for SKWD. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SKWD's intrinsic value at $190.22, implying +218.3% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does SKWD Rank in Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance?
Among 50 Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance stocks, SKWD ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 10.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 10.0 places SKWD in the top tier.
See all Most Undervalued Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance Stocks →
Within the Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance space, Skyward Specialty Insurance Gro competes in an environment where investment float often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is SKWD a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SKWD a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Skyward Specialty Insurance Gro. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Skyward Specialty Insurance Gro is rated at 10.0/10. This elite-tier score ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +273.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every SKWD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across SKWD's 12 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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