Peoples Financial Services Corp (PFIS) Fair Value 2026

PFIS · National Commercial Banks ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (20/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Peoples Financial Services Corp (PFIS) trades at $67.74, approximately 20% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $84.24. QOC: 5.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 20/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PFIS
Price
$67.74
Quality Score
5.6/10
Value Trap Risk
20/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +81.4% upside with 4% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Is Peoples Financial Services Corp (PFIS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, Peoples Financial Services Corp (PFIS) appears undervalued as of : the median of 13 independent fair value estimates is $78.87, 16.4% above the current price of $67.74. Estimates range from $14.20 to $285.53. PFIS scores 5.6/10 on fundamental quality and 20/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Peoples Financial Services Corp Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($67.74)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$84.24 +24.4%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$29.64 -56.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$122.90 +81.4%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$122.18 +80.4%

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What Is Peoples Financial Services Corp (PFIS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Peoples Financial Services Corp at $67.74. With an estimated intrinsic value of $116.79 and 8 of 13 models pointing higher, the average implied return is +72.4%. The most optimistic model, ML-RIV, places fair value at $285.53 (+321.5%), while Regime Cross — the most conservative — estimates $14.20 (-79.0%). This +400.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Peoples Financial Services Corp's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About PFIS?

13 of 13 models are currently active for PFIS. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates PFIS's intrinsic value at $84.24, implying +24.4% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PFIS Rank in National Commercial Banks?

Among 88 National Commercial Banks stocks, PFIS ranks #74 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.6 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued National Commercial Banks Stocks →

Peoples Financial Services Corp's positioning within the National Commercial Banks segment means that non-performing loan ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including fee income diversification — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is PFIS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PFIS a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Peoples Financial Services Corp. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Peoples Financial Services Corp earns a quality score of 5.6/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +400.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PFIS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PFIS's 13 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Peoples Financial Services Corp Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar National Commercial Banks Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related National Commercial Banks stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CBNA · CARE · SHBI · WABC · FSUN

See all National Commercial Banks stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Peoples Financial Services Corp

What is Peoples Financial Services Corp's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Peoples Financial Services Corp (PFIS) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $84.24. The Quality of Company score is 5.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PFIS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $67.74, 9 of 13 active models suggest PFIS may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 13 fair value estimates is $78.87, 16.4% above the current price of $67.74 — a consensus view that PFIS is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Peoples Financial Services Corp's business model in National Commercial Banks.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.6 mean for PFIS?

Peoples Financial Services Corp's QOC of 5.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PFIS?

CirclFi analyzes PFIS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is PFIS a value trap in 2026?

Peoples Financial Services Corp's Value Trap score is 20/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, Peoples Financial Services Corp (PFIS) has a median fair value of $78.87 — 16.4% above the current price of $67.74 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PFIS/ · Methodology

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