UiPath, Inc. (PATH) Fair Value 2026

PATH · Software - Infrastructure ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (34/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, UiPath, Inc. (PATH) trades at $18.15, versus a $6.44 median fair value across its 10 active models — 64.5% below the current price. QOC: 9.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 34/100 (LOW). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $5.36.

Key Facts

Ticker
PATH
Price
$18.15
Quality Score
9.0/10
Value Trap Risk
34/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.0/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is UiPath, Inc. (PATH) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, UiPath, Inc. (PATH) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $6.44, 64.5% below the current price of $18.15. Estimates range from $0.52 to $28.88. PATH scores 9.0/10 on fundamental quality and 34/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. PATH’s -64.5% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Software - Infrastructure sector median is -23.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy UiPath, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give PATH?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($18.15)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $5.36 -70.5%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $7.45 -59.0%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $4.31 -76.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.52 -97.1%
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What Is PATH's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $0.52 to $28.88

CirclFi's 10 active models place UiPath, Inc. (PATH) between $0.52 and $28.88 per share, a spread of 441% of the median. The median of that range — $6.44 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for PATH, against a current price of $18.15.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Markov DDM
$0.52median $6.44$28.88
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$0.52
Most bullish modelMarkov DDM$28.88
Model agreement2 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for PATH. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on PATH, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is UiPath, Inc. (PATH) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, UiPath, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $6.44, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $18.15. With 8 out of 10 models flagging downside (-64.5% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +59.1% (fair value: $28.88), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -97.1% ($0.52). The spread between these extremes — +156.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About PATH?

10 of 13 models are currently active for PATH. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for PATH is $6.44 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $5.36 on its own, implying -70.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PATH Rank in Software - Infrastructure?

Among 189 Software - Infrastructure stocks, PATH ranks #15 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.0 places PATH in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Software - Infrastructure Stocks →

Within the Software - Infrastructure space, UiPath, Inc. competes in an environment where R&D intensity often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is PATH a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PATH a score of 34/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for UiPath, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, UiPath, Inc. is rated at 9.0/10. This elite-tier score ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +156.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PATH valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PATH's 10 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy UiPath, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Software - Infrastructure Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Software - Infrastructure stocks with 13-model coverage

OSPNOneSpan Inc.QOC 9.0DOCNDigitalOcean Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.0CHKPCheck Point Software Technologies Ltd.QOC 9.0OKTAOkta, Inc.QOC 9.0RAMPLiveRamp Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.1PAYPaymentus Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.9WIXWix.com Ltd.QOC 7.6CSAICloudastructure Inc.QOC 5.7VHAIVocodia Holdings Corp.QOC 4.4FTNTFortinet, Inc.QOC 9.7QLYSQualys, Inc.QOC 9.7

Read investment analysis: OSPN · DOCN · CHKP · OKTA · RAMP · PAY · WIX · CSAI · VHAI · FTNT · QLYS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to PATH?

7 companies across all industries closest to PATH’s Quality of Company score of 9.0/10.

DTDynatrace, Inc.QOC 9.0SCHWThe Charles Schwab CorporationQOC 9.0BKNGBooking Holdings Inc.QOC 9.0FDSFactSet Research Systems Inc.QOC 9.0FLNGFLEX LNG Ltd.QOC 9.0SNASnap-on IncorporatedQOC 9.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: DT · SCHW · BKNG · FDS · FLNG · SNA · NVDA

Where Does PATH Sit in CirclFi's Software - Infrastructure Rankings?

PATH is ranked against every other Software - Infrastructure stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Software - Infrastructure stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About UiPath, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is UiPath, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts UiPath, Inc. (PATH)'s intrinsic value at $6.44 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.52 to $28.88. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $5.36 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PATH overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $18.15, 2 of 10 active models suggest PATH may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $6.44, 64.5% below the current price of $18.15 — a consensus view that PATH is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits UiPath, Inc.'s business model in Software - Infrastructure.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.0 mean for PATH?

UiPath, Inc.'s QOC of 9.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PATH?

CirclFi analyzes PATH with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on PATH?

Of the 10 models currently active on PATH, Markov DDM is the most bullish at $28.88 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $0.52. CirclFi's published fair value for PATH is the median of that range, $6.44, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 441% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is PATH a value trap in 2026?

UiPath, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 34/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, UiPath, Inc. (PATH) has a median fair value of $6.44 — 64.5% below the current price of $18.15 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PATH/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this PATH valuation
  • Financial statements: UiPath, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001734722) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for PATH as of ; valuations recomputed .

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