Agilysys, Inc. (AGYS) Fair Value 2026

AGYS · Software - Application ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Agilysys, Inc. (AGYS) trades at $120.50, versus a $43.23 median fair value across its 9 active models — 64.1% below the current price. QOC: 9.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $95.46.

Key Facts

Ticker
AGYS
Price
$120.50
Quality Score
9.0/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.0/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Agilysys, Inc. (AGYS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Agilysys, Inc. (AGYS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $43.23, 64.1% below the current price of $120.50. Estimates range from $3.36 to $95.56. AGYS scores 9.0/10 on fundamental quality and 17/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. AGYS’s -64.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Software - Application sector median is -23.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Agilysys, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AGYS?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($120.50)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $95.46 -20.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $3.36 -97.2%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $44.74 -62.9%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $50.14 -58.4%
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What Is AGYS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $3.36 to $95.56

CirclFi's 9 active models place Agilysys, Inc. (AGYS) between $3.36 and $95.56 per share, a spread of 213% of the median. The median of that range — $43.23 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for AGYS, against a current price of $120.50.

Low · EPVHigh · Regime Cross
$3.36median $43.23$95.56
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$3.36
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$95.56
Model agreement0 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for AGYS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on AGYS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Agilysys, Inc. (AGYS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Agilysys, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $43.23. Trading at its current price of $120.50, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 9 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -64.1%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $95.56 (-20.7%), versus EPV at $3.36 (-97.2%). This +76.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About AGYS?

9 of 13 models are currently active for AGYS. All 9 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for AGYS is $43.23 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $95.46 on its own, implying -20.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AGYS Rank in Software - Application?

Among 256 Software - Application stocks, AGYS ranks #25 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.0 places AGYS in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Software - Application Stocks →

Agilysys, Inc.'s positioning within the Software - Application segment means that customer acquisition cost (CAC) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including total addressable market (TAM) expansion — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is AGYS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AGYS a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Agilysys, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Agilysys, Inc. earns a quality score of 9.0/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +76.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AGYS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AGYS's 9 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Agilysys, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Software - Application Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Software - Application stocks with 13-model coverage

INTUIntuit Inc.QOC 9.0KAROKarooooo Ltd.QOC 9.0EGANeGain CorporationQOC 9.0DTDynatrace, Inc.QOC 9.0OTEXOpen Text CorporationQOC 9.1FICOFair Isaac CorporationQOC 9.0FROGJFrog Ltd.QOC 7.4BZAIBlaize Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.1LIVGLivento Group, Inc.QOC 4.3ADSKAutodesk, Inc.QOC 9.8PTCPTC Inc.QOC 9.8

Read investment analysis: INTU · KARO · EGAN · DT · OTEX · FICO · FROG · BZAI · LIVG · ADSK · PTC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AGYS?

5 companies across all industries closest to AGYS’s Quality of Company score of 9.0/10.

SMCISuper Micro Computer, Inc.QOC 9.0LULUlululemon athletica inc.QOC 9.0SYKStryker CorporationQOC 9.0EXPEExpedia Group, Inc.QOC 9.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SMCI · LULU · SYK · EXPE · NVDA

Where Does AGYS Sit in CirclFi's Software - Application Rankings?

AGYS is ranked against every other Software - Application stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Software - Application stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Agilysys, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Agilysys, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Agilysys, Inc. (AGYS)'s intrinsic value at $43.23 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $3.36 to $95.56. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $95.46 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AGYS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $120.50, 0 of 9 active models suggest AGYS may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $43.23, 64.1% below the current price of $120.50 — a consensus view that AGYS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Agilysys, Inc.'s business model in Software - Application.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.0 mean for AGYS?

Agilysys, Inc.'s QOC of 9.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AGYS?

CirclFi analyzes AGYS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on AGYS?

Of the 9 models currently active on AGYS, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $95.56 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $3.36. CirclFi's published fair value for AGYS is the median of that range, $43.23, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 213% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is AGYS a value trap in 2026?

Agilysys, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Agilysys, Inc. (AGYS) has a median fair value of $43.23 — 64.1% below the current price of $120.50 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AGYS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AGYS valuation
  • Financial statements: Agilysys, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000078749) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AGYS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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