Agilysys, Inc. (AGYS) Fair Value 2026

AGYS · Software - Application ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Agilysys, Inc. (AGYS) trades at $109.75, approximately 67% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $65.65. QOC: 9.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AGYS
Price
$109.75
Quality Score
9.8/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.8/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($109.75)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $65.65 -40.2%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
 $12.85 -88.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $40.59 -63.0%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $42.89 -60.9%

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What Is Agilysys, Inc. (AGYS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Agilysys, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $42.64. Trading at its current price of $109.75, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 11 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -61.2%. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $107.71 (-1.9%), versus Dynamic NAV at $10.99 (-90.0%). This +88.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About AGYS?

12 of 13 models are currently active for AGYS. All 12 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates AGYS's intrinsic value at $65.65, implying -40.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AGYS Rank in Software - Application?

Among 20 Software - Application stocks, AGYS ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.8 places AGYS in the top tier.

Agilysys, Inc.'s positioning within the Software - Application segment means that customer acquisition cost (CAC) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including total addressable market (TAM) expansion — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is AGYS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AGYS a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Agilysys, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Agilysys, Inc. earns a quality score of 9.8/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +88.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AGYS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AGYS's 12 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Agilysys, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Software - Application Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Software - Application stocks with 13-model coverage

ADBEAdobe Inc.QOC 10.0ADPAutomatic Data Processing, Inc.QOC 10.0ADSKAutodesk, Inc.QOC 10.0ALRMAlarm.com Holdings, Inc.QOC 10.0APPFAppFolio, Inc.QOC 10.0ADEAAdeia Inc.QOC 9.5AMPLAmplitude, Inc.QOC 7.7AEYEAudioEye, Inc.QOC 7.5

Read investment analysis: ADBE · ADP · ADSK · ALRM · APPF

Frequently Asked Questions About Agilysys, Inc.

What is Agilysys, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Agilysys, Inc. (AGYS) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $65.65. The Quality of Company score is 9.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AGYS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $109.75, 0 of 12 active models suggest AGYS may be undervalued, while 12 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Agilysys, Inc.'s business model in Software - Application.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.8 mean for AGYS?

Agilysys, Inc.'s QOC of 9.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AGYS?

CirclFi analyzes AGYS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is AGYS a value trap in 2026?

Agilysys, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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