Innovative Solutions and Support Inc (ISSC) Fair Value 2026

ISSC · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (23/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Innovative Solutions and Support Inc (ISSC) trades at $24.78, versus a $16.87 median fair value across its 9 active models — 31.9% below the current price. QOC: 8.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 23/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $6.51.

Key Facts

Ticker
ISSC
Price
$24.78
Quality Score
8.9/10
Value Trap Risk
23/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +10.8% upside with 58% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Innovative Solutions and Support Inc (ISSC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Innovative Solutions and Support Inc (ISSC) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $16.87, 31.9% below the current price of $24.78. Estimates range from $3.02 to $27.47. ISSC scores 8.9/10 on fundamental quality and 23/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. ISSC’s -31.9% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Aerospace & Defense sector median is -23.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Innovative Solutions and Support Inc Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ISSC?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($24.78)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $6.51 -73.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $14.35 -42.1%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $27.47 +10.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $6.62 -73.3%
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What Is ISSC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $3.02 to $27.47

CirclFi's 9 active models place Innovative Solutions and Support Inc (ISSC) between $3.02 and $27.47 per share, a spread of 145% of the median. The median of that range — $16.87 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ISSC, against a current price of $24.78.

Low · RCMH-DCFHigh · First Chicago
$3.02median $16.87$27.47
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRCMH-DCF$3.02
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$27.47
Model agreement1 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ISSC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ISSC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Innovative Solutions and Support Inc (ISSC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Innovative Solutions and Support Inc's intrinsic value is estimated at $16.87. Trading at its current price of $24.78, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 7 of 9 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -31.9%. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $27.47 (+10.8%), while RCMH-DCF — the most conservative — estimates $3.02 (-87.8%). This +98.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Innovative Solutions and Support Inc's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About ISSC?

9 of 13 models are currently active for ISSC. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ISSC is $16.87 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $6.51 on its own, implying -73.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ISSC Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 92 Aerospace & Defense stocks, ISSC ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.9 places ISSC in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

The Aerospace & Defense sector introduces analytical considerations specific to aerospace and defense businesses. For Innovative Solutions and Support Inc, metrics like program execution margin provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is ISSC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ISSC a score of 23/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Innovative Solutions and Support Inc. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Innovative Solutions and Support Inc scores 8.9 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +98.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ISSC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ISSC's 9 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Innovative Solutions and Support Inc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

DRSLeonardo DRS, Inc.QOC 9.0WWDWoodward, Inc.QOC 8.9OPXSOptex Systems Holdings, IncQOC 9.1HEIHEICO CorporationQOC 8.9HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.QOC 9.3TDGTransDigm Group IncorporatedQOC 8.7EMBJEmbraer S.A.QOC 7.8FLYFirefly Aerospace Inc.QOC 6.3XTIAXTI Aerospace, Inc.QOC 4.7BUKSButler National CorporationQOC 9.4

Read investment analysis: DRS · WWD · OPXS · HEI · HWM · TDG · EMBJ · FLY · XTIA · BUKS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ISSC?

7 companies across all industries closest to ISSC’s Quality of Company score of 8.9/10.

PAYXPaychex, Inc.QOC 8.9DAKTDaktronics, Inc.QOC 8.9LXLexinFintech Holdings Ltd.QOC 9.0FBPFirst BanCorp.QOC 8.9ADIAnalog Devices, Inc.QOC 9.0TDYTeledyne Technologies IncorporatedQOC 8.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: PAYX · DAKT · LX · FBP · ADI · TDY · NVDA

Where Does ISSC Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

ISSC is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Innovative Solutions and Support Inc’s Valuation?

What is Innovative Solutions and Support Inc's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Innovative Solutions and Support Inc (ISSC)'s intrinsic value at $16.87 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $3.02 to $27.47. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $6.51 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ISSC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $24.78, 1 of 9 active models suggest ISSC may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $16.87, 31.9% below the current price of $24.78 — a consensus view that ISSC is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Innovative Solutions and Support Inc's business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.9 mean for ISSC?

Innovative Solutions and Support Inc's QOC of 8.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ISSC?

CirclFi analyzes ISSC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ISSC?

Of the 9 models currently active on ISSC, First Chicago is the most bullish at $27.47 per share, and RCMH-DCF is the most bearish at $3.02. CirclFi's published fair value for ISSC is the median of that range, $16.87, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 145% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ISSC a value trap in 2026?

Innovative Solutions and Support Inc's Value Trap score is 23/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Innovative Solutions and Support Inc (ISSC) has a median fair value of $16.87 — 31.9% below the current price of $24.78 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ISSC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ISSC valuation

Market data for ISSC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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