Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) Fair Value 2026

FICO · Services-Business Services, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

10.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) trades at $1278.17, approximately 148% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $514.66. QOC: 10.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
FICO
Price
$1278.17
Quality Score
10.0/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 10.0/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1278.17)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$514.66 -59.7%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$32.78 -97.4%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$476.74 -62.7%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$609.31 -52.3%

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What Is Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Fair Isaac Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $542.97, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $1,278.17. With 12 out of 12 models flagging downside (-57.5% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, ML-RIV sees the most upside at -5.6% (fair value: $1,206.71), while EPV is the most conservative at -97.4% ($32.78). The spread between these extremes — +91.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About FICO?

12 of 13 models are currently active for FICO. All 12 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates FICO's intrinsic value at $514.66, implying -59.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FICO Rank in Services-Business Services, NEC?

Among 94 Services-Business Services, NEC stocks, FICO ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 10.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 10.0 places FICO in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Services-Business Services, NEC Stocks →

Fair Isaac Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is FICO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FICO a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Fair Isaac Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Fair Isaac Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 10.0/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +91.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FICO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FICO's 12 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Fair Isaac Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Business Services, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Business Services, NEC stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CART · EXLS · PDD · TCOM · LQDT

See all Services-Business Services, NEC stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Fair Isaac Corporation

What is Fair Isaac Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $514.66. The Quality of Company score is 10.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FICO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1278.17, 0 of 12 active models suggest FICO may be undervalued, while 12 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Fair Isaac Corporation's business model in Services-Business Services, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 10.0 mean for FICO?

Fair Isaac Corporation's QOC of 10.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FICO?

CirclFi analyzes FICO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is FICO a value trap in 2026?

Fair Isaac Corporation's Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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